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Resolving Civil Wars before They Start: The UN Security Council and Conflict Prevention in Self-Determination Disputes

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  • Beardsley, Kyle
  • Cunningham, David E.
  • White, Peter B.

Abstract

A large literature has demonstrated that international action can promote the resolution of civil wars. However, international actors do not wait until violence starts to seek to manage conflicts. This article considers the ways in which the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) reduces the propensity for self-determination movements to escalate to civil war, through actions that directly pertain to the disputing actors or that indirectly shape actor incentives. It examines the relationship between the content of UNSC resolutions in all self-determination disputes from 1960 to 2005 and the onset of armed conflict in the disputes. The study finds that diplomatic actions that directly address disputes reduce the likelihood of armed conflict, and that military force and sanctions have more indirect preventive effects.

Suggested Citation

  • Beardsley, Kyle & Cunningham, David E. & White, Peter B., 2017. "Resolving Civil Wars before They Start: The UN Security Council and Conflict Prevention in Self-Determination Disputes," British Journal of Political Science, Cambridge University Press, vol. 47(3), pages 675-697, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:bjposi:v:47:y:2017:i:03:p:675-697_00
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    Cited by:

    1. Kathleen Gallagher Cunningham, 2023. "Choosing tactics: The efficacy of violence and nonviolence in self-determination disputes," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 60(1), pages 124-140, January.
    2. Nicholas Sambanis & Micha Germann & Andreas Schädel, 2018. "SDM: A New Data Set on Self-determination Movements with an Application to the Reputational Theory of Conflict," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 62(3), pages 656-686, March.
    3. Zorzeta Bakaki, 2020. "The Joint Effect of International and Domestic-Level State Capacity on Civil War Risk," Social Sciences, MDPI, vol. 9(5), pages 1-14, May.
    4. World Bank, 2020. "Violence without Borders," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 33330, December.
    5. David E. Cunningham, 2018. "Jaroslav Tir and Johannes Karreth. 2018. Incentivizing Peace: How International Organizations Can Help Prevent Civil Wars in Member Countries (New York: Oxford University Press)," The Review of International Organizations, Springer, vol. 13(4), pages 627-630, December.

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