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Effects of Exchange Rates on Employment in Canada

Author

Listed:
  • Haifang Huang
  • Ke Pang
  • Yao Tang

Abstract

Under a flexible exchange rate regime, the Canadian economy is constantly affected by fluctuations in exchange rates. This paper focuses on the effect of the exchange rate on employment in Canada. We find that appreciation of the Canadian dollar has significant effects on employment in manufacturing industries; such effects are mostly associated with the export-weighted exchange rate, but not the import-weighted exchange rate. Meanwhile, the exchange rate has little effect on jobs in non-manufacturing industries. Because the manufacturing sector accounts for only about 10 percent of employment in Canada, the overall effect of the exchange rate on employment is small. In addition, we quantify the loss of manufacturing employment associated with a commodity market boom, during which the Canadian dollar tends to appreciate. Our estimates suggest that when commodity prices increase by 15.77 percent (one standard deviation of annual change in commodity prices between 1994 and 2010), manufacturing employment in Canada decreases by 0.8 percent, which is about 0.08 percent of the total employment.

Suggested Citation

  • Haifang Huang & Ke Pang & Yao Tang, 2014. "Effects of Exchange Rates on Employment in Canada," Canadian Public Policy, University of Toronto Press, vol. 40(4), pages 339-352, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpp:issued:v:40:y:2014:i:4:p:339-352
    DOI: 10.3138/cpp.2013-033
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Betts, Caroline M. & Kehoe, Timothy J., 2006. "U.S. real exchange rate fluctuations and relative price fluctuations," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(7), pages 1297-1326, October.
    2. Stoyanov, Andrey, 2009. "Trade policy of a free trade agreement in the presence of foreign lobbying," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(1), pages 37-49, February.
    3. Haifang Huang & Ke Pang & Yao Tang, 2014. "Effects of Exchange Rates on Employment in Canada," Canadian Public Policy, University of Toronto Press, vol. 40(4), pages 339-352, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Haifang Huang & Ke Pang & Yao Tang, 2014. "Effects of Exchange Rates on Employment in Canada," Canadian Public Policy, University of Toronto Press, vol. 40(4), pages 339-352, December.
    2. Chama CHIPETA & Daniel Francois MEYER, 2018. "Trade Openness, FDI and Exchange Rate Effects on Job Creation in South Africa's Tradable Sectors," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 10(4), pages 197-212.
    3. Lina Cardona-Sosa & Fredy Gamboa-Estrada & Jesahel Higuera-Barajas, 2019. "Cheap employment: ¿Aumenta el empleo manufacturero con una depreciación real?," Borradores de Economia 1062, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    4. Kim P. Huynh & Yuri Ostrovsky & Robert J. Petrunia & Marcel C. Voia, 2017. "Industry shutdown rates and permanent layoffs: evidence from firm-worker matched data," IZA Journal of Labor Economics, Springer;Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit GmbH (IZA), vol. 6(1), pages 1-31, December.
    5. Muhammad Shahid Hassan & Amna Kausar & Noman Arshed, 2022. "Investigating Export Determinants: A Time Series Evidence From Canada," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(2), pages 21582440221, June.
    6. Saghir Pervaiz GHAURI & Hina QADIR & Rizwan Raheem AHMED & Dalia STREIMIKIENE & Justas STREIMIKIS, 2022. "The Exports Performance of Pakistan: Evidence from the ARDL Cointegration Analysis," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 150-168, December.
    7. Chama Chipeta, 2022. "Analysing The Employment Effects Of The Exchange Rate, Foreign Direct Investment And Trade Openness On South Africa’S Non-Tradable Sectors," JOURNAL STUDIA UNIVERSITATIS BABES-BOLYAI NEGOTIA, Babes-Bolyai University, Faculty of Business.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F16 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade and Labor Market Interactions
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • J23 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Demand

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