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Crecimiento, Conicto Armado y Crimen Organizado: Evidencia para Colombia

Author

Listed:
  • Edgar Villa
  • Manuel Moscoso
  • Jorge A. Restrepo

Abstract

Este artículo desarrolla un modelo de Solow-Swan modi cado para incluir las consecuencias del conflicto armado y el crimen organizado en el ingreso de una economía. Utilizando un panel de datos a nivel departamental para Colombia en el periodo 1988 - 2009 se estima la ecuación estructural que se deduce del modelo teórico por efectos jos y se encuentra que la elasticidad del logaritmo del PIB departamental con respecto al conflicto armado y el crimen organizado es del -0.04 y -0.36 respectivamente. Finalmente no se encuentra cambio en estos estimativos en el periodo del gobierno de Alvaro Uribe (2003-2009) relativo al periodo anterior (1988-2002).

Suggested Citation

  • Edgar Villa & Manuel Moscoso & Jorge A. Restrepo, 2013. "Crecimiento, Conicto Armado y Crimen Organizado: Evidencia para Colombia," Vniversitas Económica, Universidad Javeriana - Bogotá, vol. 0(0), pages 1-26, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000416:011050
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    File URL: http://cea.javeriana.edu.co/documents/153049/2786252/Vol.13_3_2013.pdf/70798ac6-81ab-4b2d-bba7-231f1d3fb43b
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Hernando José Gómez R. & Laura J. Higuera, 2018. "Crecimiento Económico: ¿Es posible recuperar un ritmo superior al 4% anual?," Cuadernos de Fedesarrollo 16250, Fedesarrollo.
    2. Julio, Juan Manuel & Lozano, Ignacio, 2016. "Descentralización fiscal y crecimiento económico en Colombia: evidencia de datos de panel a nivel regional," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), August.
    3. Ignacio Lozano-Espitia & Juan Manuel Julio-Román, 2015. "Descentralización Fiscal y Crecimiento Económico: Evidencia Regional en Panel de Datos para Colombia," Borradores de Economia 865, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    4. Jorge Alvis Arrieta & Cristina Hidalgo González & María del Pilar Rodríguez Fernández, 2017. "Conflicto, posconflicto y capacidades de los gobiernos municipales en Colombia, 2002 - 2012," Revista Economía y Región, Universidad Tecnológica de Bolívar, vol. 11(2), pages 249-285, December.
    5. Luis Ignacio Lozano-Espitia & Juan Manuel Julio-Román, 2015. "Fiscal Decentralization and Economic Growth: Evidence from Regional-Level Panel Data for Colombia," Borradores de Economia 865i, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    6. Julio, Juan Manuel & Lozano, Ignacio, 2016. "Fiscal decentralization and economic growth in Colombia: evidence from regional-level panel data," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), August.
    7. Juan Pablo Medina Bickel & Álvaro José Pinzón Giraldo & Hernando Zuleta, 2017. "Violencia, Procesos de Paz e Inversión Industrial en Colombia," Documentos CEDE 15607, Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Conicto Armado; Crimen Organizado; Crecimiento Económico; Estimación porEfectos Fijos;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • H56 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - National Security and War
    • K42 - Law and Economics - - Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior - - - Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law
    • N46 - Economic History - - Government, War, Law, International Relations, and Regulation - - - Latin America; Caribbean
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General

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