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Entrando en cintura: implicaciones de política económica sobre la sostenibilidad de la deuda pública en la zona euro

Author

Listed:
  • Ramírez H., Andrés
  • Uribe C., Mateo

Abstract

Resumen: En este artículo se muestra el marco teórico implícito en la restricción presupuestaria intertemporal del gobierno. A partir de este, se realizan una serie de simulaciones sobre el problema de sostenibilidad de la deuda pública, y los sacrificios fiscales necesarios para juzgar el actual nivel de endeudamiento sostenible en algunos países de la zona Euro. En particular, Grecia, Portugal, Italia y Espana deben generar un superávit primario de 44.1%, 10.5%, 6.8% y 4.5% del PIB, respectivamente para mantener sus actuales niveles de endeudamiento. La situación de Reino Unido, Alemania y Francia es diferente, puesto que pueden presentar déficits debido a la relación entre crecimiento esperado y tasa de interés.

Suggested Citation

  • Ramírez H., Andrés & Uribe C., Mateo, 2013. "Entrando en cintura: implicaciones de política económica sobre la sostenibilidad de la deuda pública en la zona euro," Perfil de Coyuntura Económica, Universidad de Antioquia, CIE, issue 21, pages 93-103, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000165:014717
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    Keywords

    Deuda pública; Sostenibilidad; Superávit primario; Unión Europea; Política fiscal;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E60 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • H63 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt

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