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Indicadores de política y canales de transmisión monetaria. Colombia: 1975-1991

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  • Juan Carlos Echeverry

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Abstract

Dos canales de transmisión monetaria, el de la disponibilidad de crédito y del costo del capital, son contrastados con la evidencia de Colombia. Siguiendo la estrategia de identificación de Bernanke y Blinder (1992) se aplica una batería de pruebas econométricas con el objeto de aislar al "mejor indicador de política monetaria", dentro de un conjunto de variables regularmente usados o apuntadas por las autoridades. M1 parece ser el mejor indicador de política para Colombia, pero el poder predictivo de la tasa de interés es alto. Ello induce a considerar estas dos como posibles indicadores de política. Los canales de transmisión son contrastados usando ambas variables. Tanto el canal de crédito como el del costo del capital parecen haber transmitido los choques monetarios durante el periodo de estudio. La tasa de interés es considerada como la variable que lleva el mensaje de la política monetaria a la economía, mientras M1 presenta un comportamiento procíclico.

Suggested Citation

  • Juan Carlos Echeverry, 1993. "Indicadores de política y canales de transmisión monetaria. Colombia: 1975-1991," ENSAYOS SOBRE POLÍTICA ECONÓMICA, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA - ESPE, vol. 12(24), pages 7-41, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000107:007539
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Fernández Andrés, 2003. "Reformas estructurales, impacto macroeconómico y política monetaria en Colombia," REVISTA DESARROLLO Y SOCIEDAD, UNIVERSIDAD DE LOS ANDES-CEDE, March.

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