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Cultivos ilícitos y erradicación forzosa en Colombia


  • Carlos Eduardo Vargas Manrique



Colombia es el único país de la región Andina que emplea la fumigación para reducir el ritmo de crecimiento de los cultivos ilícitos. Este artículo explora la conducta de los cultivadores en el tiempo, frente a un evento aleatorio de fumigación, utilizando las herramientas del control óptimo para maximizar sus beneficios, e incorporando al análisis la probabilidad de erradicación. Se encuentra que la erradicación puede generar efectos no previstos sobre la dinámica de los cultivos que tienden a reducir el ritmo de extracción de las cosechas, y a acelerar el crecimiento en el tiempo del área cultivada.

Suggested Citation

  • Carlos Eduardo Vargas Manrique, 2004. "Cultivos ilícitos y erradicación forzosa en Colombia," REVISTA CUADERNOS DE ECONOMÍA, UN - RCE - CID, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:col:000093:006241

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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Reyes, Luis Carlos, 2014. "Estimating the Causal Effect of Forced Eradication on Coca Cultivation in Colombian Municipalities," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 70-84.

    More about this item


    comportamiento ilegal; cultivos ilícitos; técnicas de optimización; erradicación.;

    JEL classification:

    • K40 - Law and Economics - - Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior - - - General
    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis


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