Time-Varying Technological Uncertainty and Asset Prices
Within the context of a stochastic growth economy, the shocks to technology are modeled as a four-state Markov process. The parameters of this process are chosen so that the implied conditional distributions for the marginal product of capital can be ordered in terms of first- and second-order stochastic dominance. This characterization of time-varying uncertainty is then used to analyze numerically the implications for bond and equity prices. Our primary finding is that the response of asset price to an increase in technological uncertainty may differ substantially in this production economy relative to that observed in an exchange setting (as recently studied by Barsky 1989 and Abel l988). This difference is due to the endogenous behavior of consumption and capital gains and depends critical on technological shocks exhibiting positive autocorrelation.
If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version under "Related research" (further below) or search for a different version of it.
Volume (Year): 26 (1993)
Issue (Month): 2 (May)
|Contact details of provider:|| Postal: Canadian Economics Association Prof. Steven Ambler, Secretary-Treasurer c/o Olivier Lebert, CEA/CJE/CPP Office C.P. 35006, 1221 Fleury Est Montréal, Québec, Canada H2C 3K4|
Web page: http://economics.ca/cje/
More information through EDIRC
|Order Information:|| Web: http://economics.ca/en/membership.php Email: |