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Eine Anmerkung zur Aussagekraft von Wachstumsraten


  • Georg Goldrian


Kürzlich veröffentlichte das Statistische Bundesamt eine Wachstumsrate des realen Bruttoinlandsprodukts für das erste Quartal 2005. Demzufolge nahm das saisonbereinigte BIP gegenüber dem Vorquartal um 1% zu. Das Ausmaß des Wachstums überraschte die Fachwelt. Sieht man aber genauer hin, so muss man zur Kenntnis nehmen, dass infolge der Saisonbereinigung die Aussagekraft der Wachstumsrate nur als ziemlich unscharf eingeschätzt werden kann.

Suggested Citation

  • Georg Goldrian, 2005. "Eine Anmerkung zur Aussagekraft von Wachstumsraten," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 58(13), pages 47-48, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:58:y:2005:i:13:p:47-48

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. International Monetary Fund, 2004. "Germany's Three-Pillar Banking System; Cross-Country Perspectives in Europe," IMF Occasional Papers 233, International Monetary Fund.
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    Cited by:

    1. Klaus Abberger & Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2007. "Das ifo Geschäftsklima: Ein zuverlässiger Frühindikator," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 60(05), pages 25-30, March.
    2. Klaus Abberger, 2005. "Ein Vergleich der Zeitreihen der Erzeugerpreise und der Preiserwartungen im ifo Konjunkturtest für das verarbeitende Gewerbe," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 58(14), pages 50-51, July.

    More about this item


    Sozialprodukt; Wachstumstheorie; Deutschland;

    JEL classification:

    • E00 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - General


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