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Konjunkturprognose Ostdeutschland und Sachsen 2011/2012: Inlandsnachfrage stützt den Aufschwung

Author

Listed:
  • Stefan Arent
  • Michael Weber

    ()

  • Robert Lehmann

    ()

Abstract

Der konjunkturelle Aufschwung auf gesamtdeutscher Ebene hat sich im Winterhalbjahr 2010/2011 mit hohem Tempo fortgesetzt. Auch in Ostdeutschland haben die konjunkturellen Auftriebskräfte die Oberhand gewonnen. Nach der aktuellen Konjunkturprognose des IFO INSTITUTS dürfte das preisbereinigte Brutto inlandsprodukt in Ostdeutschland (einschließlich Berlin) um 2,9 % in diesem bzw. 1,9% im kommenden Jahr steigen. Im Freistaat Sachsen dürfte das Wirtschaftswachstum in beiden Jahren noch etwas stärker ausfallen. Die Lage am ostdeutschen bzw. sächsischen Arbeitsmarkt entspannt sich dabei weiter, sodass die Zahl der erwerbstätigen Personen voraussichtlich um 0,8 % bzw. 0,9% steigen wird.

Suggested Citation

  • Stefan Arent & Michael Weber & Robert Lehmann, 2011. "Konjunkturprognose Ostdeutschland und Sachsen 2011/2012: Inlandsnachfrage stützt den Aufschwung," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 18(04), pages 12-21, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifodre:v:18:y:2011:i:04:p:12-21
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    File URL: http://www.cesifo-group.de/DocDL/ifodb_2011_4_12_21.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Joachim Ragnitz, 2011. "Auf dem Weg zur Vollbeschäftigung: Implikationen der demographischen Entwicklung für den ostdeutschen Arbeitsmarkt," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 18(02), pages 03-06, April.
    2. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2011. "Vierteljährliche VGR für Sachsen: Ergebnisse für das erste Quartal 2011," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 18(04), pages 33-34, August.
    3. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2011. "Deutschlandprognose 2011/2012: Aufschwung kommt langsamer voran," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 18(04), pages 3-11, August.
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    Cited by:

    1. Wenzel, Lars, 2013. "Forecasting regional growth in Germany: A panel approach using business survey data," HWWI Research Papers 133, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWI).
    2. Wenzel, Lars & Wolf, André, 2013. "Short-term forecasting with business surveys: Evidence for German IHK data at federal state level," HWWI Research Papers 140, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWI).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Konjunktur; Konjunkturprognose; Sachsen; Neue Bundesländer;

    JEL classification:

    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General

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