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Le modèle France de l'OFCE. La nouvelle version : e-mod.fr

  • Valérie Chauvin
  • Gaël Dupont
  • Éric Heyer
  • Mathieu Plane
  • Xavier Timbeau

Since 1984, the OFCE has developed a quarterly macroeconometric model for the French economy, which has been used both for budget policy analyses and short and medium term forecasts. This model evolved, along with current theoretic and econometric advances. It was simplified and estimated with the national accounts data. Mosaïque has become e-mod.fr (economic-model.France). This model assumes the French economy reacts in a neo-keynesian way : as producing factors are not fully used, the global demand determines supply in the short run. Then, the production level influences prices and thus demand behaviour. Behavioural equations are resituated in the context of current research, insisting on government. We describe as well how we solved some practical problems every modeller meets : estimation methods, long run properties, autocorrelation.

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Article provided by Presses de Sciences-Po in its journal Revue de l'OFCE.

Volume (Year): 81 (2002)
Issue (Month): 2 ()
Pages: 245-300

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Handle: RePEc:cai:reofsp:reof_081_0245
Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.cairn.info/revue-de-l-ofce.htm

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  1. Gaël Dupont & Eric Heyer & Xavier Timbeau & Bruno Ventelou, 2001. "L'impact macroéconomique des réformes du secteur de santé français," Post-Print hal-01073255, HAL.
  2. Gérard Cornilleau & Eric Heyer & Xavier Timbeau, 1998. "Le temps et l’argent : les 35 heures en douceur," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/1728, Sciences Po.
  3. Hall, S G, 1986. "An Application of the Granger & Engle Two-Step Estimation Procedure to United Kingdom Aggregate Wage Data," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 48(3), pages 229-39, August.
  4. Tamim Bayoumi, 1992. "Financial Deregulation and Household Saving," Bank of England working papers 5, Bank of England.
  5. Valérie Chauvin & Eric Heyer & Xavier Timbeau, 1999. "Mosaïque révélé : recueil de variantes et de simulations du modèle Mosaïque," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/1644, Sciences Po.
  6. Martin Browning & Thomas Crossley, 2001. "The life-cycle model of consumption and saving," IFS Working Papers W01/15, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
  7. Yannick L'Horty & Florence Thibault, 1997. "Le Nairu en France : les insuffisances d'une courbe de Phillips," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 127(1), pages 83-99.
  8. Eric Heyer & Hervé Le Bihan & Frédéric Lerais, 2000. "Relation de Phillips, boucle prix-salaire : une estimation par la méthode de Johansen," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 146(5), pages 43-60.
  9. Pierre Sicsic & Jean-Pierre Villetelle, 1995. "Du nouveau sur le taux d'épargne des ménages ?," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 121(5), pages 59-64.
  10. Xavier Bonnet & Eric Dubois, 1995. "Peut-on comprendre la hausse imprévue du taux d'épargne des ménages depuis 1990 ?," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 121(5), pages 39-58.
  11. Hervé Le Bihan & Henri Sterdyniak, 1998. "Courbe de Phillips et modèle WS-PS: Quelques réflexions," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/5372, Sciences Po.
  12. Sims, Christopher A, 1980. "Macroeconomics and Reality," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 48(1), pages 1-48, January.
  13. Hélène Baudchon & Valérie Chauvin, 1999. "Les cigales épargnent-elles ? Une comparaison des taux d'épargne français et américain," Revue de l'OFCE, Programme National Persée, vol. 68(1), pages 127-164.
  14. Lucas, Robert Jr, 1976. "Econometric policy evaluation: A critique," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 19-46, January.
  15. Olivier Jean Blanchard & Lawrence Katz, 1999. "Wage Dynamics: Reconciling Theory and Evidence," NBER Working Papers 6924, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  16. repec:spo:wpecon:info:hdl:2441/1728 is not listed on IDEAS
  17. Milton Friedman, 1957. "A Theory of the Consumption Function," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number frie57-1, 07.
  18. Yannick L'Horty & Nicolas Sobczak, 1997. "Les déterminants du chômage d'équilibre : estimation d'un modèle WS-PS," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 127(1), pages 101-116.
  19. Yannick L'Horty & Christophe Rault, 2003. "Les causes du chômage en France. Une ré-estimation du modèle ws-ps," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 54(2), pages 271-294.
  20. Milton Friedman, 1957. "Introduction to "A Theory of the Consumption Function"," NBER Chapters, in: A Theory of the Consumption Function, pages 1-6 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  21. repec:spo:wpecon:info:hdl:2441/1644 is not listed on IDEAS
  22. Hall, S G, 1989. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Cointegration Vectors: An Example of the Johansen Procedure," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 51(2), pages 213-18, March.
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