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Comparing Team Selection and Seeding for the 2011 NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament


  • Gray Kathy L.

    (California State University, Chico)

  • Schwertman Neil C.

    (California State University, Chico)


The men’s NCAA basketball tournament is a popular sporting event often referred to as “March Madness.” Each year the NCAA committee not only selects but also seeds the tournament teams. Invariably there is much discussion about which teams were included and excluded as well as discussion about the seeding of the teams. In this paper, we propose an innovative heuristic measure of team success, and we investigate how well the NCAA committee seeding compares to the computer-based placements by Sagarin and the rating percentage index (RPI). For the 2011 tournament, the NCAA committee selection process performed better than those based solely on the computer methods in determining tournament success.

Suggested Citation

  • Gray Kathy L. & Schwertman Neil C., 2012. "Comparing Team Selection and Seeding for the 2011 NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament," Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, De Gruyter, vol. 8(1), pages 1-13, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:bpj:jqsprt:v:8:y:2012:i:1:n:4

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. West Brady T., 2008. "A Simple and Flexible Rating Method for Predicting Success in the NCAA Basketball Tournament: Updated Results from 2007," Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, De Gruyter, vol. 4(2), pages 1-18, April.
    2. Steven Caudill & Norman Godwin, 2002. "Heterogeneous skewness in binary choice models: Predicting outcomes in the men's NCAA basketball tournament," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(7), pages 991-1001.
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    Cited by:

    1. Grimshaw Scott D. & Sabin R. Paul & Willes Keith M., 2013. "Analysis of the NCAA Men’s Final Four TV audience," Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, De Gruyter, vol. 9(2), pages 115-126, June.

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