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Modeling and Forecasting Morbidity and Disease-mortality of Chinese Impaired Lives with the General Chronic Diseases

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  • Zhang Ning

    (Central University of Finance and Economics, Beijing100081, China)

  • Yuan Yanran

    (Central University of Finance and Economics, Beijing100081, China)

Abstract

The paper did some work to analyze the longevity risk of impaired lives with general chronic diseases. The work was based on the age-specific, time-specific and disease-specific data set which is from the underwriting data base, the Chinese healthy yearbook and the medical institution. After some analysis on the final data, the results showed that there was an obvious upward trend in morbidity and downward trend mortality. All the results can be used in the pricing process of insurance products for impaired lives. The paper also showed the pricing results of innovative life insurance products for impaired lives with diabetes. The conclusion means a good market chance for any insurance companies.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhang Ning & Yuan Yanran, 2014. "Modeling and Forecasting Morbidity and Disease-mortality of Chinese Impaired Lives with the General Chronic Diseases," Journal of Systems Science and Information, De Gruyter, vol. 2(1), pages 38-46, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:bpj:jossai:v:2:y:2014:i:1:p:38-46:n:4
    DOI: 10.1515/JSSI-2014-0038
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Koissi, Marie-Claire & Shapiro, Arnold F. & Hognas, Goran, 2006. "Evaluating and extending the Lee-Carter model for mortality forecasting: Bootstrap confidence interval," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 1-20, February.
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