IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bor/bistre/v15y2015i4p249-258.html

On capital flows and macroeconomic performance: Evidence before and after the financial crisis in Turkey

Author

Listed:
  • Magda Kandil
  • Mohamed Trabelsi

Abstract

The paper sheds light on the Turkish experience of capital account liberalization and its effect on key macroeconomic variables, using quarterly data in a multivariate VAR model. We also take into consideration the crisis breakpoint in 2001 and estimate the effect of shocks attributed to capital flows, using quarterly data during the sub-periods 1989:01–2001:01 and 2001:02–2009:03. The findings indicate that capital flows have varying effects on the Turkish economy before and after the crisis in 2001 and the evidence supports significant effects of liberalizing financial flows on macroeconomic performance, especially during the post-crisis period (2001:02–2009:03). Moreover, this latter period exhibited evidence of sterilization policy that has helped mopping up excess liquidity and containing inflationary pressures. These factors seem to signal deliberate efforts by the Central Bank of Turkey to stem the risk of appreciation of the real exchange rate and preserve export competitiveness during periods of high financial inflows, a trend that has been reversed recently by the surge in outflows and currency depreciation in many emerging markets in anticipation of imminent normalization of monetary policy in the United States.

Suggested Citation

  • Magda Kandil & Mohamed Trabelsi, 2015. "On capital flows and macroeconomic performance: Evidence before and after the financial crisis in Turkey," Borsa Istanbul Review, Research and Business Development Department, Borsa Istanbul, vol. 15(4), pages 249-258, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:bor:bistre:v:15:y:2015:i:4:p:249-258
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214845015300156
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Abdullahil Mamun & Harun Bal & Shahanara Basher & Md Mahi Uddin & Nazamul Hoque, 2023. "Growth Effects Of Currency Misalignment And Capital Flight In Turkey," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 26(2), pages 221-250, May.
    2. Soumia Zenasni, 2015. "Recent Trends in Regional Financial Integration and Trade Liberalization in Maghreb Countries: A Multivariate Threshold Autoregressive Analysis," FIW Working Paper series 145, FIW.
    3. Ajisafe Rufus Adebayo & Okunade Solomon Oluwaseun, 2020. "International Capital Inflow and Sub-Saharan African Economy: Does Capital Inflow Lead Growth?," Growth, Asian Online Journal Publishing Group, vol. 7(1), pages 26-34.
    4. EZZAHID, Elhadj & MAOUHOUB, Brahim, 2015. "Capital account liberalization and Moroccan macroeconomic performances," MPRA Paper 67627, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Yener Cos‚kun & A. Sevtap Selcuk-Kestel & Bilgi Yilmaz, 2017. "Diversification benefit and return performance of REITs using CAPM and Fama-French: Evidence from Turkey," Borsa Istanbul Review, Research and Business Development Department, Borsa Istanbul, vol. 17(4), pages 199-215, December.
    6. Muhammad Imran & Abdul Rashid, 2023. "The Empirical Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment Episodes," Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, Emerging Markets Forum, vol. 15(3), pages 409-435, September.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • G - Financial Economics
    • G - Financial Economics
    • O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bor:bistre:v:15:y:2015:i:4:p:249-258. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Ahmet Palu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/rdisetr.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.