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A dynamic multilevel ecological approach to drinking event modelling and intervention

Author

Listed:
  • Hugo Gonzalez Villasanti
  • Danielle Madden
  • Kevin Passino
  • John Clapp

Abstract

The complex and dynamic interplay between an individual's psychophysiological processes and multilevel interactions with his/her group and environment during alcohol drinking events is analysed in this work. Our aim is to provide a system dynamics model to accurately represent a drinking event and provide guidelines for feedback‐based behavioural interventions. We employ a pharmacodynamics model of alcohol metabolism, with a self‐regulation approach of decision‐making to characterize the individual's drinking behaviour. The nonlinearities introduced by the acute effects of alcohol in cognition, along with social perception and influence, complete the individual's model, which serves as a basis for the group and environment's behaviour models. A sensitivity analysis revealed that influenceability and overestimation via descriptive social norms are key drivers of higher blood alcohol content levels. Furthermore, simulations showed that intervening early in the event, before cognition processes are inhibited, and targeting groups of individuals result in efficient implementations.

Suggested Citation

  • Hugo Gonzalez Villasanti & Danielle Madden & Kevin Passino & John Clapp, 2021. "A dynamic multilevel ecological approach to drinking event modelling and intervention," Systems Research and Behavioral Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(4), pages 473-487, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:srbeha:v:38:y:2021:i:4:p:473-487
    DOI: 10.1002/sres.2691
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Gorman, D.M. & Mezic, J. & Mezic, I. & Gruenewald, P.J., 2006. "Agent-based modeling of drinking behavior: A preliminary model and potential applications to theory and practice," American Journal of Public Health, American Public Health Association, vol. 96(11), pages 2055-2060.
    2. John D. Clapp & Danielle R. Madden & Hugo Gonzalez Villasanti & Luis Felipe Giraldo & Kevin M. Passino & Mark B. Reed & Isabel Fernandez Puentes, 2018. "A System Dynamic Model of Drinking Events: Multi†Level Ecological Approach," Systems Research and Behavioral Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(3), pages 265-281, May.
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