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Valuing the Redevelopment Option Component of Urban Land Values

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  • Henry J. Munneke
  • Kiplan S. Womack

Abstract

This study draws from the redevelopment, real option, and urban spatial growth literatures to explore the spatial dynamics of the components of house prices. More specifically, the paper proposes that the capitalized value of the option to redevelop housing at the property level can be estimated by incorporating the likelihood of exercising the redevelopment option (the probability of redevelopment) into spatial and nonspatial hedonic house price models. Accordingly, option values are estimated for properties across the spectrum of the housing life cycle. Results from the study reveal a substantial level of spatial variation and clustering in the predicted option values, indicating that location is a major determinant of redevelopment and real option values. Furthermore, the results provide new evidence in support of the theoretical construct that properties purchased for immediate redevelopment are only valued for the underlying land.

Suggested Citation

  • Henry J. Munneke & Kiplan S. Womack, 2020. "Valuing the Redevelopment Option Component of Urban Land Values," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 48(1), pages 294-338, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:reesec:v:48:y:2020:i:1:p:294-338
    DOI: 10.1111/1540-6229.12192
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    Cited by:

    1. David Geltner & Anil Kumar & Alex M. Van de Minne, 2020. "Riskiness of Real Estate Development: A Perspective from Urban Economics and Option Value Theory," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 48(2), pages 406-445, June.
    2. Honglin Wang & Fan Yu & Yinggang Zhou, 2020. "Property Investment and Rental Rate under Housing Price Uncertainty: A Real Options Approach," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 48(2), pages 633-665, June.
    3. Tsai, I-Chun & Wang, Wen-Kai, 2022. "The value of land redevelopment in different types of properties: Considering the effect of hold-out problems on the development probability," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    4. Gyourko, Joe & Krimmel, Jacob, 2021. "The impact of local residential land use restrictions on land values across and within single family housing markets," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    5. John M. Clapp & Jeffrey P. Cohen & Thies Lindenthal, 2023. "Are Estimates of Rapid Growth in Urban Land Values an Artifact of the Land Residual Model?," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 66(2), pages 373-421, February.
    6. Bourassa, Steven C. & Hoesli, Martin, 2022. "Hedonic, residual, and matching methods for residential land valuation," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(PA).
    7. Gang‐Zhi Fan & Ming Pu & Tien Foo Sing & Xiaoyu Zhang, 2022. "Risk aversion and urban land development options," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 50(3), pages 767-788, September.

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