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Periodic Sequences Of Arbitrage: A Tale Of Four Currencies

Author

Listed:
  • Rod Cross
  • Victor Kozyakin
  • Brian O'Callaghan
  • Alexei Pokrovskii
  • Alexey Pokrovskiy

Abstract

This paper investigates arbitrage chains involving four currencies and four foreign exchange trader-arbitrageurs. In contrast with the three-currency case, we find that arbitrage operations when four currencies are present may appear periodic in nature, and not involve smooth convergence to a "balanced" ensemble of exchange rates in which the law of one price holds. The goal of this article is to understand some interesting features of sequences of arbitrage operations, features which might well be relevant in other contexts in finance and economics.
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Suggested Citation

  • Rod Cross & Victor Kozyakin & Brian O'Callaghan & Alexei Pokrovskii & Alexey Pokrovskiy, 2012. "Periodic Sequences Of Arbitrage: A Tale Of Four Currencies," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 63(2), pages 250-294, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:metroe:v:63:y:2012:i:2:p:250-294
    DOI: j.1467-999X.2011.04140.x
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/j.1467-999X.2011.04140.x
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    1. Maurice Obstfeld & Kenneth Rogoff, 2001. "The Six Major Puzzles in International Macroeconomics: Is There a Common Cause?," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2000, Volume 15, pages 339-412, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    6. Charles Engel & Kenneth D. West, 2005. "Exchange Rates and Fundamentals," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 113(3), pages 485-517, June.
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    8. Shleifer, Andrei & Vishny, Robert W, 1997. "The Limits of Arbitrage," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 52(1), pages 35-55, March.
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    10. Kenneth A. Froot & Michael Kim & Kenneth Rogoff, 2019. "The Law of One Price Over 700 Years," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 20(1), pages 1-35, May.
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    13. Deardorff, Alan V, 1979. "One-Way Arbitrage and Its Implications for the Foreign Exchange Markets," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 87(2), pages 351-364, April.
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    15. Rahi, Rohit & Zigrand, Jean-Pierre, 2008. "Arbitrage networks," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 4787, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
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    Cited by:

    1. Alexander Mikhailovich Batkovskiy & Viktor Antonovich Nesterov & Olga Olegovna Reshetova & Elena Georgievna Semenova & Alena Vladimirovna Fomina, 2017. "Dynamic Model of Optimal Production Control in a Hysteretic Behaviour of Economic Agents," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(2A), pages 355-379.
    2. repec:edn:sirdps:378 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Rod Cross & Victor Kozyakin, 2012. "Double Exponential Instability of Triangular Arbitrage Systems," Papers 1204.3422, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2012.
    4. Rod Cross & Victor Kozyakin, 2012. "Fact and Fiction in FX Arbitrage Processes," Working Papers 1211, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C60 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - General
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • D82 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Asymmetric and Private Information; Mechanism Design

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