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The Stability of Emu‐wide Money Demand Functions and the Monetary Policy Strategy of the European Central Bank

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  • Annick Bruggeman

Abstract

In this paper we investigate whether monetary aggregates could play a role as either intermediate targets or indicators of the single monetary policy of the European Central Bank (ECB). To this end we estimate money demand functions for the European Economic and Monetary Union and test for their stability. Our estimations suggest that M3H in particular can play a role in both a monetary and an inflation targeting strategy. If the ECB chooses to opt for an inflation targeting strategy MR and even M1, in addition to M3H, may well serve as important indicators, alongside a number of other financial and real variables.

Suggested Citation

  • Annick Bruggeman, 2000. "The Stability of Emu‐wide Money Demand Functions and the Monetary Policy Strategy of the European Central Bank," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 68(2), pages 184-202, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:manchs:v:68:y:2000:i:2:p:184-202
    DOI: 10.1111/1467-9957.00189
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    1. repec:zbw:rwirep:0237 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Kjosevski Jordan & Petkovski Mihail & Naumovska Elena, 2016. "The Stability of Long-Run Money Demand in Western Balkan Countries: An Empirical Panel Investigation," South East European Journal of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 11(2), pages 61-70, December.
    3. Kai Carstensen & Jan Hagen & Oliver Hossfeld & Abelardo Salazar Neaves, 2009. "Money Demand Stability And Inflation Prediction In The Four Largest Emu Countries," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 56(1), pages 73-93, February.
    4. Carstensen, Kai & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Kamps, Christophe & Scheide, Joachim, 2003. "Gradual recovery in Euroland," Kiel Discussion Papers 405, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    5. Lauri Kajanoja, 2004. "Money as an indicator variable for monetary policy when money demand is forward looking," Macroeconomics 0405003, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Carstensen, Kai, 2006. "Stock Market Downswing and the Stability of European Monetary Union Money Demand," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 24, pages 395-402, October.
    7. Abdul Qayyum, 2005. "Modelling the Demand for Money in Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 44(3), pages 233-252.
    8. Dobnik, Frauke, 2011. "Long-run Money Demand in OECD Countries – Cross-Member Cointegration," Ruhr Economic Papers 237, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    9. de Bondt, Gabe, 2009. "Euro area money demand: empirical evidence on the role of equity and labour markets," Working Paper Series 1086, European Central Bank.
    10. Browne, Frank & Kelly, Robert, 2010. "Central Bank Credibility and Income Velocity in a Monetary Union," Quarterly Bulletin Articles, Central Bank of Ireland, pages 77-92, October.
    11. Carstensen, Kai, 2004. "Is European Money Demand Still Stable?," Kiel Working Papers 1179, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    12. Browne, Frank & Kelly, Robert, 2009. "Money and uncertainty in democratised financial markets," Research Technical Papers 16/RT/09, Central Bank of Ireland.
    13. Jordan KJOSEVSKI & Mihail PETKOVSKI, 2017. "Are The Determinants Of Money Demand Stable In Selected Countries From Southeastern Europe?," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 84-96, December.
    14. Livio Stracca, 2003. "The Functional Form Of The Demand For Euro Area M1," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 71(2), pages 172-204, March.
    15. Carstensen, Kai & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Kamps, Christophe & Scheide, Joachim, 2003. "Euroland: Stagnation wird allmählich überwunden," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 3081, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    16. Samih Antoine Azar & Fadi Asrawi & Emad Gharzuddine, 2017. "Economic Integration in the Six Middle Eastern Gulf Countries: A Look from the Perspective of Money Demand," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 16(3), pages 189-218, December.
    17. Ferda HALICIOGLU & Mehmet UGUR, 2005. "On Stability of the Demand for Money in a Developing OECD," Macroeconomics 0508001, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Arnold, Ivo J.M. & Roelands, Sebastian, 2010. "The demand for euros," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 674-684, June.
    19. Frauke Dobnik, 2011. "OLong-run Money Demand in OECD Countries – Cross-Member Cointegration," Ruhr Economic Papers 0237, Rheinisch-Westfälisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Universität Dortmund, Universität Duisburg-Essen.
    20. Mike Artis & Andreas Beyer, 2004. "Issues in Money Demand: The Case of Europe," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(4), pages 717-736, November.
    21. Kajanoja, Lauri, 2003. "Money as an indicator variable for monetary policy when money demand is forward looking," Research Discussion Papers 9/2003, Bank of Finland.
    22. Gabe J. De Bondt, 2010. "New Evidence On The Motives For Holding Euro Area Money," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 78(3), pages 259-278, June.
    23. Roberto Golinelli & Sergio Pastorello, 2002. "Modelling the demand for M3 in the Euro area," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(4), pages 371-401.
    24. repec:zbw:bofrdp:2003_009 is not listed on IDEAS

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