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The Stability of EMU-Wide Money Demand Functions and the Monetary Policy Strategy of the European Central Bank

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  • Bruggeman, Annick

Abstract

In this paper we investigate whether monetary aggregates could play a role as either intermediate targets or indicators of the single monetary policy of the European Central Bank (ECB). To this end, we estimate money demand functions for the European Economic and Monetary Union and test for their stability. Our estimations suggest that M3H in particular can play a role in both a monetary and an inflation targeting strategy. If the ECB chooses to opt for an inflation targeting strategy MR and even M1, in addition to M3H, may well serve as important indicators, alongside a number of other financial and real variables. Copyright 2000 by Blackwell Publishers Ltd and The Victoria University of Manchester

Suggested Citation

  • Bruggeman, Annick, 2000. "The Stability of EMU-Wide Money Demand Functions and the Monetary Policy Strategy of the European Central Bank," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 68(2), pages 184-202, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:manchs:v:68:y:2000:i:2:p:184-202
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    Cited by:

    1. Carstensen, Kai & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Kamps, Christophe & Scheide, Joachim, 2003. "Euroland: Stagnation wird allmählich überwunden," Munich Reprints in Economics 19932, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
    2. Carstensen, Kai, 2004. "Is European Money Demand Still Stable?," Kiel Working Papers 1179, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
    3. Browne, Frank & Kelly, Robert, 2009. "Money and uncertainty in democratised financial markets," Research Technical Papers 16/RT/09, Central Bank of Ireland.
    4. Livio Stracca, 2003. "The Functional Form Of The Demand For Euro Area M1," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 71(2), pages 172-204, March.
    5. Frauke Dobnik, 2011. "OLong-run Money Demand in OECD Countries – Cross-Member Cointegration," Ruhr Economic Papers 0237, Rheinisch-Westfälisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Universität Dortmund, Universität Duisburg-Essen.
    6. Mike Artis & Andreas Beyer, 2004. "Issues in Money Demand: The Case of Europe," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(4), pages 717-736, November.
    7. Abdul Qayyum, 2005. "Modelling the Demand for Money in Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 44(3), pages 233-252.
    8. Ansgar Belke & Robert Czudaj, 2010. "Is Euro Area Money Demand (Still) Stable? Cointegrated VAR Versus Single Equation Techniques," Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot, Berlin, vol. 56(4), pages 285-315.
    9. Roberto Golinelli & Sergio Pastorello, 2002. "Modelling the demand for M3 in the Euro area," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(4), pages 371-401.
    10. Carstensen, Kai, 2006. "Stock Market Downswing and the Stability of European Monetary Union Money Demand," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 24, pages 395-402, October.
    11. Kai Carstensen & Jan Hagen & Oliver Hossfeld & Abelardo Salazar Neaves, 2009. "Money Demand Stability And Inflation Prediction In The Four Largest Emu Countries," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 56(1), pages 73-93, February.
    12. Browne, Frank & Kelly, Robert, 2010. "Central Bank Credibility and Income Velocity in a Monetary Union," Quarterly Bulletin Articles, Central Bank of Ireland, pages 77-92, October.
    13. repec:rjr:romjef:v::y:2017:i:4:p:84-96 is not listed on IDEAS
    14. Dobnik, Frauke, 2011. "Long-run Money Demand in OECD Countries – Cross-Member Cointegration," Ruhr Economic Papers 237, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    15. de Bondt, Gabe, 2009. "Euro area money demand: empirical evidence on the role of equity and labour markets," Working Paper Series 1086, European Central Bank.
    16. repec:zbw:rwirep:0237 is not listed on IDEAS
    17. Carstensen, Kai & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Kamps, Christophe & Scheide, Joachim, 2003. "Gradual recovery in Euroland," Kiel Discussion Papers 405, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
    18. Lauri Kajanoja, 2004. "Money as an indicator variable for monetary policy when money demand is forward looking," Macroeconomics 0405003, EconWPA.
    19. Ferda HALICIOGLU & Mehmet UGUR, 2005. "On Stability of the Demand for Money in a Developing OECD," Macroeconomics 0508001, EconWPA.
    20. Arnold, Ivo J.M. & Roelands, Sebastian, 2010. "The demand for euros," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 674-684, June.
    21. Gabe J. De Bondt, 2010. "New Evidence On The Motives For Holding Euro Area Money," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 78(3), pages 259-278, June.

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