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The Effect Of U.S. Trade Deficit Announcements On The Stock Prices Of U.S. And Japanese Automakers

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  • Qian Sun
  • Wilson H.S. Tong

Abstract

The existing literature on the trade news effect on asset prices generally looks at exchange rates and stock market indexes. We focus on individual stocks: the U.S. and Japanese “Big Three” automobile stocks. We examine Japanese automobile American Depositary Receipts (ADRs), not the stocks per se, to avoid the time lag problem. First, we find deficit news shocks, especially the positive shocks, have a negative effect on the Japanese automobile ADRs. Second, we find only weak evidence that the news effect is different under different economic conditions. Third, trade news is found to be a competitive shock to the automakers in the sense of Karolyi and Stulz (1996). Last, statistically generated U.S.–Japan bilateral trade deficit news and bilateral auto trade deficit news have no effect on the automobile stock in general.

Suggested Citation

  • Qian Sun & Wilson H.S. Tong, 2000. "The Effect Of U.S. Trade Deficit Announcements On The Stock Prices Of U.S. And Japanese Automakers," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 23(1), pages 15-43, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jfnres:v:23:y:2000:i:1:p:15-43
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1475-6803.2000.tb00809.x
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    Cited by:

    1. Çetin, Murat & Sarıgül, Sevgi Sümerli & Işık, Cem & Avcı, Pınar & Ahmad, Munir & Alvarado, Rafael, 2023. "The impact of natural resources, economic growth, savings, and current account balance on financial sector development: Theory and empirical evidence," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    2. Yau, Hwey-Yun & Nieh, Chien-Chung, 2009. "Testing for cointegration with threshold effect between stock prices and exchange rates in Japan and Taiwan," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 21(3), pages 292-300, August.
    3. Park, Haesik & Song, Chi-Young, 2008. "Japanese vocal intervention and the yen/dollar exchange rate," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 61-81, January.
    4. Suk-Joong Kim & Michael D. McKenzie & Robert W. Faff, 2018. "Macroeconomic News Announcements and the Role of Expectations: Evidence for US Bond, Stock and Foreign Exchange Markets," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Information Spillovers and Market Integration in International Finance Empirical Analyses, chapter 5, pages 151-174, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    5. Yau, Hwey-Yun & Nieh, Chien-Chung, 2006. "Interrelationships among stock prices of Taiwan and Japan and NTD/Yen exchange rate," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 535-552, June.
    6. Henry, Ólan & Olekalns, Nilss & Shields, Kalvinder, 2010. "Sign and phase asymmetry: News, economic activity and the stock market," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 1083-1100, December.

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