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Exchange Traded Funds and Stock Market Volatility

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  • Liao Xu
  • Xiangkang Yin

Abstract

This study investigates the relationship between the volatility of stock market indexes and the trading volumes of their exchange traded funds (ETFs). Using both ordinary least squares and generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity approaches, we demonstrate that the contemporaneous trading volume of S&P 500 ETFs is a key determinant of S&P 500 volatility at both monthly and daily frequencies. Vector autoregressive estimation on the other hand suggests a two†way Granger causality between S&P 500 volatility and the trading of S&P 500 ETFs. A replication analysis of other market indexes and the corresponding ETFs tracking these indexes confirms that these findings are robust.

Suggested Citation

  • Liao Xu & Xiangkang Yin, 2017. "Exchange Traded Funds and Stock Market Volatility," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 17(4), pages 525-560, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:irvfin:v:17:y:2017:i:4:p:525-560
    DOI: 10.1111/irfi.12121
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    Cited by:

    1. Chen, Jilong & Xu, Liao, 2023. "Do exchange-traded fund activities destabilize the stock market? Evidence from the China securities index 300 stocks," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    2. Zhifeng Dai & Tingyu Li & Mi Yang, 2022. "Forecasting stock return volatility: The role of shrinkage approaches in a data‐rich environment," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(5), pages 980-996, August.
    3. Xu, Liao & Yin, Xiangkang & Zhao, Jing, 2019. "The sidedness and informativeness of ETF trading and the market efficiency of their underlying indexes," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    4. Liu, Dehong & Liang, Yucong & Zhang, Lili & Lung, Peter & Ullah, Rizwan, 2021. "Implied volatility forecast and option trading strategy," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 943-954.
    5. Xu, Liao & Gao, Han & Shi, Yukun & Zhao, Yang, 2020. "The heterogeneous volume-volatility relations in the exchange-traded fund market: Evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 400-408.

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