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Non-performing loans in Baltic States: determinants and macroeconomic effects

Author

Listed:
  • Jordan Kjosevski

    (Independent Researcher)

  • Mihail Petkovski

    (Department of Financial Management, Faculty of Economics, Sts. Cyril and Methodius University in Skopje, Skopje, Macedonia)

Abstract

This study analyses the linkages between macroeconomic and bank-specific determinants of non-performing loans (NPLs) and their impact on macroeconomic performance in the Baltic States using two complementary approaches. First, we examine the macroeconomic and bank-specific determinants of NPLs for a panel of 27 banks from the Baltics using annual data for the period 2005–2014. The most important macroeconomic factors are GDP growth, inflation and domestic credit to the private sector. As for the bank-specific determinants, we found that the equity to total assets ratio, return on assets, the return on equity and the growth of gross loans were of importance. Second, we investigate the feedback between NPLs and its macroeconomic determinants. The results suggest that the real economy responds to NPLs and that there are strong feedback effects from macroeconomic conditions such as domestic credit to private sector, GDP growth, unemployment and inflation to NPLs.

Suggested Citation

  • Jordan Kjosevski & Mihail Petkovski, 2017. "Non-performing loans in Baltic States: determinants and macroeconomic effects," Baltic Journal of Economics, Baltic International Centre for Economic Policy Studies, vol. 17(1), pages 25-44.
    • Handle: RePEc:bic:journl:v:17:y:2017:i:1:p:25-44
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    File URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/1406099X.2016.1246234
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. John Thornton & Caterina Di Tommaso, 2021. "The effect of non‐performing loans on credit expansion: Do capital and profitability matter? Evidence from European banks," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 4822-4839, July.
    2. Bogdan Florin FILIP, 2017. "Lessons From The Impact Of Internal And Macroeconomic Determinants Of Bad Loans In Cee Banks," EURINT, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, vol. 4, pages 198-212.
    3. Segun Thompson Bolarinwa & Olawale Akinyele & Xuan Vinh Vo, 2021. "Determinants of nonperforming loans after recapitalization in the Nigerian banking industry: Does efficiency matter?," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(6), pages 1509-1524, September.
    4. Jeleta Kebede & Vincent Tawiah & Ernest Gyapong, 2023. "The effect of corruption on microfinance loan portfolio: A semiparametric analysis," Economics of Transition and Institutional Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 31(1), pages 241-268, January.
    5. Ante Dzidic & Igor Zivko & Anela Colak, 2022. "Macroeconomic Factors Of Non-Performing Loans: The Case Of Bosnia And Herzegovina," Economic Thought and Practice, Department of Economics and Business, University of Dubrovnik, vol. 31(2), pages 421-438, december.
    6. Jasmina Ðuraškovic & Slavica Manic & Dejan Živkov, 2019. "Multiscale Volatility Transmission and Portfolio Construction Between the Baltic Stock Markets," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 69(2), pages 211-235, April.
    7. Almir ALIHODŽIĆ & İbrahim Halil EKŞİ, 2018. "Credit growth and non-performing loans: evidence from Turkey and some Balkan countries," Eastern Journal of European Studies, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, vol. 9, pages 229-249, December.
    8. Mihail Petkovski & Jordan Kjosevski & Kiril Jovanovski, 2018. "Empirical Panel Analysis of Non-performing Loans in the Czech Republic. What are their Determinants and How Strong is their Impact on the Real Economy?," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 68(5), pages 460-490, October.
    9. Segun Thompson Bolarinwa & Anthony Enisan Akinlo, 2022. "Determinants of nonperforming loans after recapitalization in the Nigerian banking industry: Does competition matter?," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 34(3), pages 309-323, September.
    10. Ekaterina V. Orlova, 2021. "Methodology and Models for Individuals’ Creditworthiness Management Using Digital Footprint Data and Machine Learning Methods," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(15), pages 1-28, August.
    11. Kandela Ramesh, 2019. "Bad Loans of Public Sector Banks in India: A Panel Data Study," Emerging Economy Studies, International Management Institute, vol. 5(1), pages 22-30, May.
    12. Zbigniew Korzeb & Paweł Niedziółka, 2021. "Determinants of Differentiation of Cost of Risk (CoR) among Polish Banks during COVID-19 Pandemic," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-12, March.
    13. Jordan Kjosevski & Mihail Petkovski, 2021. "Macroeconomic and bank-specific determinants of non-performing loans: the case of baltic states," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 48(4), pages 1009-1028, November.
    14. Imad Jabbouri & Maryem Naili, 2020. "Determinants of Nonperforming Loans in Emerging Markets: Evidence from the MENA Region," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 22(04), pages 1-33, February.

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