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Global Risk Premiums and the Transmission of Monetary Policy

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An important channel in the transmission of monetary policy is the relationship between the short-term policy rate and long-term interest rates. Using a new term-structure model, the authors show that the variation in long-term interest rates over time consists of two components: one representing investor expectations of future policy rates, and another reflecting a term-structure risk premium that compensates investors for holding a risky asset. The time variation in the term-structure risk premium is countercyclical and largely determined by global macroeconomic conditions. As a result, long-term rates are pushed up during recessions and down during times of expansion. This is an important phenomenon that central banks need to take into account when using short-term rates as a policy tool.

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  • Gregory Bauer & Antonio Diez de los Rios, 2012. "Global Risk Premiums and the Transmission of Monetary Policy," Bank of Canada Review, Bank of Canada, vol. 2012(Summer), pages 12-20.
  • Handle: RePEc:bca:bcarev:v:2012:y:2012:i:summer12:p:12-20
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    1. repec:eee:jimfin:v:74:y:2017:i:c:p:115-136 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Disyatat, Piti & Rungcharoenkitkul, Phurichai, 2017. "Monetary policy and financial spillovers: Losing traction?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 115-136.

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