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The dynamics of alcohol and marijuana initiation: Patterns and predictors of first use in adolescence

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  • Kosterman, R.
  • Hawkins, J.D.
  • Guo, J.
  • Catalano, R.F.
  • Abbott, R.D.

Abstract

Objectives. This study, guided by the social development model, examined the dynamic patterns and predictors of alcohol and marijuana use onset. Methods. Survival analysis and complementary log-log regression were used to model hazard rates and etiology of initiation with time-varying covariates. The sample was derived from a longitudinal study of 808 youth interviewed annually from 10 to 16 years of age and at 18 years of age. Results. Alcohol initiation rose steeply up to the age of 13 years and then increased more gradually; most participants had initiated by 13 years of age. Marijuana initiation showed a different pattern, with more participants initiating after the age of 13 years. Conclusions. This study showed that: (1) the risk initiation spans the entire course of adolescent development; (2) young people exposed to others who use substances are at higher risk for early initiation; (3) proactive parents can help delay initiation; and (4) clear family standards and proactive family management are important in delaying alcohol and marijuana use, regardless of how closely bonded at child is to his or her mother.

Suggested Citation

  • Kosterman, R. & Hawkins, J.D. & Guo, J. & Catalano, R.F. & Abbott, R.D., 2000. "The dynamics of alcohol and marijuana initiation: Patterns and predictors of first use in adolescence," American Journal of Public Health, American Public Health Association, vol. 90(3), pages 360-366.
  • Handle: RePEc:aph:ajpbhl:2000:90:3:360-366_7
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    Cited by:

    1. Hong, Jun Sung & Huang, Hui & Sabri, Bushra & Kim, Johnny S., 2011. "Substance abuse among Asian American youth: An ecological review of the literature," Children and Youth Services Review, Elsevier, vol. 33(5), pages 669-677, May.
    2. Sandra Müller & Gerhard Gmel, 2002. "Veränderungen des Einstiegsalters in den Cannabiskonsum: Ergebnisse der zweiten Schweizer Gesundheitsbefragung 1997," International Journal of Public Health, Springer;Swiss School of Public Health (SSPH+), vol. 47(1), pages 14-23, March.
    3. Hong, Jun Sung & Lee, Na Youn & Grogan-Kaylor, Andrew & Huang, Hui, 2011. "Alcohol and tobacco use among South Korean adolescents: An ecological review of the literature," Children and Youth Services Review, Elsevier, vol. 33(7), pages 1120-1126, July.
    4. Li, Yi & Guo, Guang, 2020. "Heterogeneous peer effects on marijuana use: Evidence from a natural experiment," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 252(C).
    5. Chen Li & Guandong Song, 2022. "A Qualitative Study of Drug Treatment Conformity Behavior among Young Drug Users Who Are in Recovery in China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(22), pages 1-14, November.

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