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Future infectious disease threats to Europe

Author

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  • Suk, J.E.
  • Semenza, J.C.

Abstract

We examined how different drivers of infectious disease could interact to threaten control efforts in Europe. We considered projected trends through 2020 for 3 broad groups of drivers: globalization and environmental change, social and demographic change, and health system capacity. Eight plausible infectious disease threats with the potential to be significantly more problematic than they are today were identified through an expert consultation: extensively drugresistant bacteria, vector-borne diseases, sexually transmitted infections, foodborne infections, a resurgence of vaccine-preventable diseases, health care- associated infections, multidrug-resistant tuberculosis, and pandemic influenza. Preemptive measures to be taken by the public health community to counteract these threats were identified.

Suggested Citation

  • Suk, J.E. & Semenza, J.C., 2011. "Future infectious disease threats to Europe," American Journal of Public Health, American Public Health Association, vol. 101(11), pages 2068-2079.
    • Handle: RePEc:aph:ajpbhl:10.2105/ajph.2011.300181_7
    DOI: 10.2105/AJPH.2011.300181
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    RePEc Biblio mentions

    As found on the RePEc Biblio, the curated bibliography for Economics:
    1. > Economics of Welfare > Health Economics > Economics of Pandemics > Preparation
    2. > Economics of Welfare > Health Economics > Economics of Pandemics > Preparation

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Andrew G. Huff & Walter E. Beyeler & Nicholas S. Kelley & Joseph A. McNitt, 2015. "How resilient is the United States’ food system to pandemics?," Journal of Environmental Studies and Sciences, Springer;Association of Environmental Studies and Sciences, vol. 5(3), pages 337-347, September.
    2. Jonathan E. Suk & Kristie L. Ebi & David Vose & Willy Wint & Neil Alexander & Koen Mintiens & Jan C. Semenza, 2014. "Indicators for Tracking European Vulnerabilities to the Risks of Infectious Disease Transmission due to Climate Change," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-18, February.
    3. Aline Désesquelles & Elena Demuru & Marilena Pappagallo & Luisa Frova & France Meslé & Viviana Egidi, 2015. "After the epidemiologic transition: a reassessment of mortality from infectious diseases among over-65s in France and Italy," International Journal of Public Health, Springer;Swiss School of Public Health (SSPH+), vol. 60(8), pages 961-967, December.
    4. Heyuan You & Xin Wu & Xuxu Guo, 2020. "Distribution of COVID-19 Morbidity Rate in Association with Social and Economic Factors in Wuhan, China: Implications for Urban Development," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(10), pages 1-14, May.
    5. Gordon L. Nichols & Yvonne Andersson & Elisabet Lindgren & Isabelle Devaux & Jan C. Semenza, 2014. "European Monitoring Systems and Data for Assessing Environmental and Climate Impacts on Human Infectious Diseases," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-43, April.
    6. Yoseob Heo & Jongseok Kang & Keunhwan Kim, 2019. "National Scientific Funding for Interdisciplinary Research: A Comparison Study of Infectious Diseases in the US and EU," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(15), pages 1-25, July.
    7. Marc Suhrcke & David Stuckler & Jonathan E Suk & Monica Desai & Michaela Senek & Martin McKee & Svetla Tsolova & Sanjay Basu & Ibrahim Abubakar & Paul Hunter & Boika Rechel & Jan C Semenza, 2011. "The Impact of Economic Crises on Communicable Disease Transmission and Control: A Systematic Review of the Evidence," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 6(6), pages 1-12, June.
    8. Krzysztof Goniewicz & Frederick M. Burkle & Simon Horne & Marta Borowska-Stefańska & Szymon Wiśniewski & Amir Khorram-Manesh, 2021. "The Influence of War and Conflict on Infectious Disease: A Rapid Review of Historical Lessons We Have Yet to Learn," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(19), pages 1-10, September.
    9. Kristie Ebi & Elisabet Lindgren & Jonathan Suk & Jan Semenza, 2013. "Adaptation to the infectious disease impacts of climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 118(2), pages 355-365, May.
    10. Nicholas Johnson & Mar Fernández de Marco & Armando Giovannini & Carla Ippoliti & Maria Luisa Danzetta & Gili Svartz & Oran Erster & Martin H. Groschup & Ute Ziegler & Ali Mirazimi & Vanessa Monteil &, 2018. "Emerging Mosquito-Borne Threats and the Response from European and Eastern Mediterranean Countries," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-17, December.
    11. Andrew Huff & Walter Beyeler & Nicholas Kelley & Joseph McNitt, 2015. "How resilient is the United States’ food system to pandemics?," Journal of Environmental Studies and Sciences, Springer;Association of Environmental Studies and Sciences, vol. 5(3), pages 337-347, September.
    12. Jan C. Semenza, 2015. "Prototype Early Warning Systems for Vector-Borne Diseases in Europe," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-19, June.

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