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Como a Governança Regional Limita o Desenvolvimento Regional. Evidências de um Modelo Base Econométrico para os Açores

Author

Listed:
  • Tomaz P. Dentinho

    (University of Azores, Portugal)

  • Mario Amaral Fortuna

    (University of Azores, Portugal)

Abstract

O crescimento das economias regionais depende da dinâmica das atividades básicas. As atividades básicas envolvem não apenas as exportações, mas também todas as entradas e saídas de dinheiro associadas a transferências públicas e privadas, aos empréstimos e aos serviço da dívida. O objetivo deste artigo é analisar os fatores de crescimento relevantes da economia dos Açores de 2001 a 2016, incluindo a crise prolongada que resultou do colapso financeiro de 2008 e da quebra das finanças públicas portuguesas em 2012. Para alcançar este objetivo, estima-se um modelo econométrico da base que relaciona o emprego total com as principais exportações, o apoio financeiro externo à Economia dos Açores e a dívida pública do ano anterior como proxy para o serviço da dívida. Os resultados indicam que as exportações de leite, o número de hóspedes e as transferências públicas têm um papel fortemente positivo no emprego, enquanto a dívida pública tem um forte efeito negativo sobre o emprego no próximo ano. Mostramos que a liberalização do transporte aéreo decidida pelo governo nacional e o fim dos constrangimentos na produção de leite decididos pela União Europeia tiveram um efeito importante na economia dos Açores, mas o aumento da dívida pública está a destruir fortemente o emprego criado.

Suggested Citation

  • Tomaz P. Dentinho & Mario Amaral Fortuna, 2019. "Como a Governança Regional Limita o Desenvolvimento Regional. Evidências de um Modelo Base Econométrico para os Açores," RPER, Associação Portuguesa para o Desenvolvimento Regional, issue 52, pages 25-35, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:apd:rper00:y:2019:i:52:id:462
    DOI: 10.59072/rper.vi52.462
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    4. Andrew C. Krikelas, 1992. "Why regions grow: a review of research on the economic base model," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, issue Jul, pages 16-29.
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