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A Method For Determining Ranch Profit Probabilities When Livestock Yields Are Normally Distributed

Author

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  • Blake, Martin J.
  • Gray, James R.

Abstract

Data on net turnoff for small, medium-sized and large cow-calf and small and large size yearling ranches were tested for normality using the Shapiro - Wilk test. The yield data examined were accepted as normally distributed at the alpha = .10 level. The probability of profit for each type of ranch was assessed using normal curve techniques for nine different cost-price alternatives and weather conditions. Yearling cattle ranchers had higher profit probabilities than cow-calf ranchers. Prices received had more influence on profit probabilities than weather conditions.

Suggested Citation

  • Blake, Martin J. & Gray, James R., 1981. "A Method For Determining Ranch Profit Probabilities When Livestock Yields Are Normally Distributed," Western Journal of Agricultural Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 6(1), pages 1-10, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:wjagec:32083
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.32083
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    Cited by:

    1. Ethridge, Don E. & Zhang, Ping & Dahl, Bill E. & Ervin, R. Terry & Rushemeza, Justin, 1990. "Cattle Ranching Production And Marketing Strategies Under Combined Price And Weather Risks," Western Journal of Agricultural Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 15(2), pages 1-11, December.
    2. Mathews, Kenneth H., Jr. & Short, Sara D., 2001. "The Beef Cow Replacement Decision," Journal of Agribusiness, Agricultural Economics Association of Georgia, vol. 19(2), pages 1-21.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Livestock Production/Industries;

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