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Flexible stocking with Grass-Cast: A new grassland productivity forecast to translate climate outlooks for ranchers

Author

Listed:
  • Peck, Dannele
  • Derner, Justin
  • Parton, William
  • Hartman, Melannie
  • Fuchs, Brian

Abstract

Highly variable precipitation in western U.S. rangelands makes it challenging for ranchers to match animal demand to forage supply. Flexible stocking can enhance matching, thereby reducing losses during drought and increasing profit during wet years. Yet the benefits of flexible stocking depend on the availability of highly accurate and applicable seasonal climate outlooks. The availability and skill of seasonal climate outlooks is summarized, revealing shortcomings that make flexible stocking less practical and less beneficial. A new grassland productivity forecast, Grass-Cast, can facilitate flexible stocking by translating climate outlooks into more applicable summer forage outlooks, and its strengths and limitations are described.

Suggested Citation

  • Peck, Dannele & Derner, Justin & Parton, William & Hartman, Melannie & Fuchs, Brian, 2019. "Flexible stocking with Grass-Cast: A new grassland productivity forecast to translate climate outlooks for ranchers," Western Economics Forum, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 17(1), March.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:weecfo:287342
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.287342
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    Cited by:

    1. Dennis S. Ojima & Rebecca Aicher & Steven R. Archer & Derek W. Bailey & Susan M. Casby-Horton & Nancy Cavallaro & Julian J. Reyes & John A. Tanaka & Robert A. Washington-Allen, 2020. "A climate change indicator framework for rangelands and pastures of the USA," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 163(4), pages 1733-1750, December.
    2. Srinivasagan N. Subhashree & C. Igathinathane & Adnan Akyuz & Md. Borhan & John Hendrickson & David Archer & Mark Liebig & David Toledo & Kevin Sedivec & Scott Kronberg & Jonathan Halvorson, 2023. "Tools for Predicting Forage Growth in Rangelands and Economic Analyses—A Systematic Review," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-30, February.

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    Keywords

    Livestock Production/Industries;

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