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Modeling Migration Effects on Agricultural Lands: A Growth Equilibrium Model

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  • Hailu, Yohannes G.
  • Rosenberger, Randall S.

Abstract

We estimate a system-of-equations model designed to measure the interaction between intertemporal patterns of changes in population, employment, and agricultural land densities. The model is applied to West Virginia for the 1990-1999 period. Consistent with recent findings on migration patterns, the results show that jobs followed people. New jobs were captured by commuters, while agricultural land losses were occurring in the commuters' counties of origin or bedroom communities. However, counties with relatively more profitable and concentrated agricultural enterprises were less susceptible to alternative land use pressure than counties with less productive or fragmented agricultural land. Elasticities indicate population change is elastic, whereas employment and agricultural land density changes are inelastic to factors affecting them. Growth management, when combined with agricultural land retention programs, may be most effective at preserving agricultural land in high growth or potential growth areas.

Suggested Citation

  • Hailu, Yohannes G. & Rosenberger, Randall S., 2004. "Modeling Migration Effects on Agricultural Lands: A Growth Equilibrium Model," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 33(1), April.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:arerjl:31379
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    File URL: http://purl.umn.edu/31379
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    Cited by:

    1. Waltert, Fabian & Schl├Ąpfer, Felix, 2010. "Landscape amenities and local development: A review of migration, regional economic and hedonic pricing studies," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(2), pages 141-152, December.
    2. Yohannes Hailu & Cheryl Brown, 2007. "Impacts of Regional Growth on Farmland Development in the Northeast U.S," Working Papers Working Paper 2007-01, Regional Research Institute, West Virginia University.
    3. Jeanty, P. Wilner & Partridge, Mark & Irwin, Elena, 2010. "Estimation of a spatial simultaneous equation model of population migration and housing price dynamics," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(5), pages 343-352, September.
    4. Jens Abildtrup & Virginie Piguet & Bertrand Schmitt, 2011. "The impact of agro-food industry on employment and population changes: The case of Denmark and France'," ERSA conference papers ersa10p1622, European Regional Science Association.
    5. repec:rri:wpaper:200701 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Fabian Waltert & Felix Schlaepfer, 2007. "The role of landscape amenities in regional development: a survey of migration, regional economic and hedonic pricing studies," SOI - Working Papers 0710, Socioeconomic Institute - University of Zurich.

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    Keywords

    Land Economics/Use;

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