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Beschäftigungsstabilität im Konjunkturzyklus - Eine empirische Analyse mit Individualdaten für Westdeutschland 1984 - 2005

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  • Olaf Hübler
  • Thomas Walter

Abstract

Based on West German data of the Socio Economic Panel from 1984 to 2005 the paper investigates, whether individual tenure is influenced by the economic cycle. Parametric time duration analysis, especially Weibull and log logistic accelerated failure models are applied. The major results are as follows: The business cycle has effects on tenure for men and women. Job stability increases at the beginning of a boom. Later on during the upswing we observe a contrary effect for men. The probability to change the job accelerates due to high growth rates in the past periods.

Suggested Citation

  • Olaf Hübler & Thomas Walter, 2009. "Beschäftigungsstabilität im Konjunkturzyklus - Eine empirische Analyse mit Individualdaten für Westdeutschland 1984 - 2005," Schmollers Jahrbuch : Journal of Applied Social Science Studies / Zeitschrift für Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften, Duncker & Humblot, Berlin, vol. 129(1), pages 1-36.
    • Handle: RePEc:aeq:aeqsjb:v129_y2009_i1_q1_p1-36
    DOI: 10.3790/schm.129.1.1
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    Cited by:

    1. Matthias Dütsch & Olaf Struck, 2014. "Employment trajectories in Germany: do firm characteristics and regional disparities matter? [Erwerbsverläufe in Deutschland: Zur Bedeutung betrieblicher Charakteristika und regionaler Disparitäten," Journal for Labour Market Research, Springer;Institute for Employment Research/ Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), vol. 47(1), pages 107-127, March.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C41 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Duration Analysis; Optimal Timing Strategies
    • J62 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Job, Occupational and Intergenerational Mobility; Promotion
    • J63 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Turnover; Vacancies; Layoffs

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