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Is presidential cycle in security returns merely a reflection of business conditions?

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Cited by:

  1. Wisniewski, Tomasz Piotr, 2016. "Is there a link between politics and stock returns? A literature survey," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 15-23.
  2. Aliyu, Shehu Usman Rano, 2020. "What have we learnt from modelling stock returns in Nigeria: Higgledy-piggledy?," MPRA Paper 110382, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 06 Jun 2021.
  3. Chrétien, Stéphane & Coggins, Frank, 2009. "Election outcomes and financial market returns in Canada," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 1-23, March.
  4. Elmar A. Janssen, 2014. "Do Election Results Affect the Value of Politically Connected Firms? - The Effect of the Schroeder-Merkel Change of Government on German Prime Standard Firms," Working Papers Dissertations 05, Paderborn University, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics.
  5. Bialkowski, Jedrzej & Gottschalk, Katrin & Wisniewski, Tomasz Piotr, 2008. "Stock market volatility around national elections," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(9), pages 1941-1953, September.
  6. Hon Chung Hui, 2021. "Were Foreign Exchange Markets Reacting Negatively to Political Events? The Case of Malaysia," South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance, , vol. 10(1), pages 105-129, June.
  7. Bohl, Martin T. & Gottschalk, Katrin, 2006. "International evidence on the Democrat premium and the presidential cycle effect," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 107-120, August.
  8. Alvarez-Ramirez, J. & Rodriguez, E. & Espinosa-Paredes, G., 2012. "A partisan effect in the efficiency of the US stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(20), pages 4923-4932.
  9. Killins, Robert N. & Ngo, Thanh & Wang, Hongxia, 2022. "Politics and equity markets: Evidence from Canada," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
  10. Roman Kraussl & Andre Lucas & David R. Rijsbergen & Pieter Jelle van der Sluis & Evert B. Vrugt, 2013. "Washington Meets Wall Street: A Closer Examination of the Presidential Cylce Puzzle," DEM Discussion Paper Series 13-4, Department of Economics at the University of Luxembourg.
  11. Tomasz Wisniewski & Geoffrey Lightfoot & Simon Lilley, 2012. "Speculating on presidential success: exploring the link between the price–earnings ratio and approval ratings," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 36(1), pages 106-122, January.
  12. Ray Sturm, 2013. "Economic policy and the presidential election cycle in stock returns," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 37(2), pages 200-215, April.
  13. Kräussl, Roman & Lucas, André & Rijsbergen, David R. & van der Sluis, Pieter Jelle & Vrugt, Evert B., 2014. "Washington meets Wall Street: A closer examination of the presidential cycle puzzle," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 50-69.
  14. C. Justin Robinson & Prosper Bangwayo-Skeete, 2017. "Semi-strong Form Market Efficiency in Stock Markets with Low Levels of Trading Activity: Evidence from Stock Price Reaction to Major National and International Events," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 18(6), pages 1447-1464, December.
  15. Shehu U.R. Aliyu, 2019. "Do Presidential Elections Affect Stock Market Returns In Nigeria?," West African Journal of Monetary and Economic Integration, West African Monetary Institute, vol. 19(1), pages 40-56, June.
  16. Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Mudida, Robert & Yaya, OlaOluwa S & Osuolale, Kazeem & Ogbonna, Ephraim A, 2019. "Influence of US Presidential Terms on S&P500 Index Using a Time Series Analysis Approach," MPRA Paper 93941, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  17. Civilize, Sireethorn & Wongchoti, Udomsak & Young, Martin, 2015. "Military regimes and stock market performance," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 76-95.
  18. Pham, Huy Nguyen Anh & Ramiah, Vikash & Moosa, Nisreen & Huynh, Tam & Pham, Nhi, 2018. "The financial effects of Trumpism," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 264-274.
  19. C. Justin Robinson & Prosper Bangwayo-Skeete, 2017. "Parliamentary Elections and Frontier Stock Markets: Evidence from Stock Market Reaction to General Elections in the Commonwealth Caribbean," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 18(5), pages 1077-1088, October.
  20. Luis A. Gil‐Alana & Robert Mudida & OlaOluwa S. Yaya & Kazeem A. Osuolale & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2021. "Mapping US presidential terms with S&P500 index: Time series analysis approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 1938-1954, April.
  21. Wisniewski, Tomasz Piotr & Lambe, Brendan John, 2015. "Does economic policy uncertainty drive CDS spreads?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 447-458.
  22. Harald Schmidbauer & Angi Rösch & Erhan Uluceviz & Narod Erkol, 2016. "Are American and European equity markets in phase? --- Frequency aspects of return and volatility spillovers," EcoMod2016 9559, EcoMod.
  23. Taylor, Mark & Filippou, Ilias & Gozluklu, Arie & Nguyen, My, 2020. "U.S. Populist Rhetoric and Currency Returns," CEPR Discussion Papers 15054, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  24. Manfred Gartner, 2010. "Predicting the presidential election cycle in US stock prices: guinea pigs versus the pros," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(18), pages 1759-1765.
  25. Wong, Wing-Keung & McAleer, Michael, 2009. "Mapping the Presidential Election Cycle in US stock markets," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 79(11), pages 3267-3277.
  26. Gerasimos G. Rompotis, 2018. "Political Uncertainty and the Greek Stock Market over the Period 2011-2015," Capital Markets Review, Malaysian Finance Association, vol. 26(1), pages 1-18.
  27. Hui, Hon Chung, 2019. "Did the Foreign Exchange Market Cheer or Jeer in Response to Political Events? An Event Study of Malaysia – Some Stylised Facts," MPRA Paper 98149, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  28. Samar Ashour & David A. Rakowski & Salil K. Sarkar, 2019. "U.S. presidential cycles and the foreign exchange market," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(4), pages 523-540, October.
  29. Lawrence Leger & Vitor Leone, 2008. "Changes in the risk structure of stock returns: Consumer Confidence and the dotcom bubble," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 17(3), pages 228-244, August.
  30. K. Arin & Alexander Molchanov & Otto Reich, 2013. "Politics, stock markets, and model uncertainty," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 45(1), pages 23-38, August.
  31. H. Kent Baker & Satish Kumar & Debidutta Pattnaik, 2020. "Twenty‐five years of Review of Financial Economics: A bibliometric overview," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 38(1), pages 3-23, January.
  32. Hugh Christensen & Simon Godsill & Richard E Turner, 2020. "Hidden Markov Models Applied To Intraday Momentum Trading With Side Information," Papers 2006.08307, arXiv.org.
  33. Ray R. Sturm, 2016. "Is There a Presidential Election Cycle in Firm Financials?," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 19(02), pages 1-18, June.
  34. Schmidbauer, Harald & Rösch, Angi & Uluceviz, Erhan, 2017. "Frequency aspects of information transmission in a network of three western equity markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 486(C), pages 933-946.
  35. Andrew C. Worthington, 2009. "Political Cycles in the Australian Stock Market since Federation," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 42(4), pages 397-409, December.
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