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A hybrid method of exponential smoothing and recurrent neural networks for time series forecasting

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Cited by:

  1. Pantelis Agathangelou & Demetris Trihinas & Ioannis Katakis, 2020. "A Multi-Factor Analysis of Forecasting Methods: A Study on the M4 Competition," Data, MDPI, vol. 5(2), pages 1-24, April.
  2. Montero-Manso, Pablo & Hyndman, Rob J., 2021. "Principles and algorithms for forecasting groups of time series: Locality and globality," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1632-1653.
  3. Makridakis, Spyros & Spiliotis, Evangelos & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios, 2022. "Predicting/hypothesizing the findings of the M5 competition," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(4), pages 1337-1345.
  4. Pala, Zeydin, 2023. "Comparative study on monthly natural gas vehicle fuel consumption and industrial consumption using multi-hybrid forecast models," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PC).
  5. Andrea Kolková & Aleksandr Kljuènikov, 2021. "Demand forecasting: an alternative approach based on technical indicator Pbands," Oeconomia Copernicana, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 12(4), pages 1063-1094, December.
  6. Minfeng Wu & Wen Chen, 2022. "Forecast of Electric Vehicle Sales in the World and China Based on PCA-GRNN," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-14, February.
  7. Hewamalage, Hansika & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bandara, Kasun, 2021. "Recurrent Neural Networks for Time Series Forecasting: Current status and future directions," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 388-427.
  8. Putz, Dominik & Gumhalter, Michael & Auer, Hans, 2021. "A novel approach to multi-horizon wind power forecasting based on deep neural architecture," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 494-505.
  9. Rajapaksha, Dilini & Bergmeir, Christoph & Hyndman, Rob J., 2023. "LoMEF: A framework to produce local explanations for global model time series forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1424-1447.
  10. Tartakovsky, Alexandre M. & Ma, Tong & Barajas-Solano, David A. & Tipireddy, Ramakrishna, 2023. "Physics-informed Gaussian process regression for states estimation and forecasting in power grids," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 967-980.
  11. Ma, Shaohui & Fildes, Robert, 2021. "Retail sales forecasting with meta-learning," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 288(1), pages 111-128.
  12. Ahmad El Majzoub & Fethi A. Rabhi & Walayat Hussain, 2023. "Evaluating interpretable machine learning predictions for cryptocurrencies," Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(3), pages 137-149, July.
  13. Petropoulos, Fotios & Apiletti, Daniele & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Barrow, Devon K. & Ben Taieb, Souhaib & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bessa, Ricardo J. & Bijak, Jakub & Boylan, Joh, 2022. "Forecasting: theory and practice," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 705-871.
    • Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020. "Forecasting: theory and practice," Papers 2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
  14. Spiliotis, Evangelos & Makridakis, Spyros & Kaltsounis, Anastasios & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios, 2021. "Product sales probabilistic forecasting: An empirical evaluation using the M5 competition data," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 240(C).
  15. Diunugala, Hemantha Premakumara & Mombeuil, Claudel, 2020. "Modeling and predicting foreign tourist arrivals to Sri Lanka: A comparison of three different methods," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 6(3), pages 3-13.
  16. Marek Vochozka & Jaromir Vrbka & Petr Suler, 2020. "Bankruptcy or Success? The Effective Prediction of a Company’s Financial Development Using LSTM," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-17, September.
  17. Kang, Yanfei & Spiliotis, Evangelos & Petropoulos, Fotios & Athiniotis, Nikolaos & Li, Feng & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios, 2021. "Déjà vu: A data-centric forecasting approach through time series cross-similarity," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 719-731.
  18. Van Belle, Jente & Crevits, Ruben & Verbeke, Wouter, 2023. "Improving forecast stability using deep learning," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1333-1350.
  19. Winita Sulandari & Yudho Yudhanto & Paulo Canas Rodrigues, 2022. "The Use of Singular Spectrum Analysis and K-Means Clustering-Based Bootstrap to Improve Multistep Ahead Load Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(16), pages 1-22, August.
  20. Anderer, Matthias & Li, Feng, 2022. "Hierarchical forecasting with a top-down alignment of independent-level forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(4), pages 1405-1414.
  21. Supraja Malladi & Qiqi Lu, 2023. "Intervention Time Series Analysis and Forecasting of Organ Donor Transplants in the US during the COVID-19 Era," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 5(1), pages 1-27, February.
  22. David T. Frazier & Ruben Loaiza-Maya & Gael M. Martin & Bonsoo Koo, 2021. "Loss-Based Variational Bayes Prediction," Papers 2104.14054, arXiv.org, revised May 2022.
  23. Makridakis, Spyros & Spiliotis, Evangelos & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Chen, Zhi & Gaba, Anil & Tsetlin, Ilia & Winkler, Robert L., 2022. "The M5 uncertainty competition: Results, findings and conclusions," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(4), pages 1365-1385.
  24. Ruben Loaiza‐Maya & Gael M. Martin & David T. Frazier, 2021. "Focused Bayesian prediction," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(5), pages 517-543, August.
  25. Oreshkin, Boris N. & Dudek, Grzegorz & Pełka, Paweł & Turkina, Ekaterina, 2021. "N-BEATS neural network for mid-term electricity load forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 293(C).
  26. Bojer, Casper Solheim, 2022. "Understanding machine learning-based forecasting methods: A decomposition framework and research opportunities," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(4), pages 1555-1561.
  27. Bojer, Casper Solheim & Meldgaard, Jens Peder, 2021. "Kaggle forecasting competitions: An overlooked learning opportunity," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 587-603.
  28. Stefenon, Stefano Frizzo & Seman, Laio Oriel & Aquino, Luiza Scapinello & Coelho, Leandro dos Santos, 2023. "Wavelet-Seq2Seq-LSTM with attention for time series forecasting of level of dams in hydroelectric power plants," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 274(C).
  29. Godahewa, Rakshitha & Bergmeir, Christoph & Webb, Geoffrey I. & Montero-Manso, Pablo, 2023. "An accurate and fully-automated ensemble model for weekly time series forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 641-658.
  30. Sharma, Abhishek & Jain, Sachin Kumar, 2022. "A novel seasonal segmentation approach for day-ahead load forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 257(C).
  31. Katarzyna Maciejowska & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafa{l} Weron, 2022. "Forecasting Electricity Prices," Papers 2204.11735, arXiv.org.
  32. Thabang Mathonsi & Terence L. van Zyl, 2021. "A Statistics and Deep Learning Hybrid Method for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting and Mortality Modeling," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 4(1), pages 1-25, December.
  33. Stephanie Yang & Hsueh-Chih Chen & Chih-Hsien Wu & Meng-Ni Wu & Cheng-Hong Yang, 2021. "Forecasting of the Prevalence of Dementia Using the LSTM Neural Network in Taiwan," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(5), pages 1-19, February.
  34. Semenoglou, Artemios-Anargyros & Spiliotis, Evangelos & Makridakis, Spyros & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios, 2021. "Investigating the accuracy of cross-learning time series forecasting methods," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 1072-1084.
  35. Lars Lien Ankile & Kjartan Krange, 2022. "Deep Learning and Linear Programming for Automated Ensemble Forecasting and Interpretation," Papers 2201.00426, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2022.
  36. Wilson, Tom & Grossman, Irina & Temple, Jeromey, 2023. "Evaluation of the best M4 competition methods for small area population forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 110-122.
  37. Araujo, Gustavo Silva & Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza, 2023. "Machine learning methods for inflation forecasting in Brazil: New contenders versus classical models," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 4(2).
  38. Winita Sulandari & Yudho Yudhanto & Sri Subanti & Crisma Devika Setiawan & Riskhia Hapsari & Paulo Canas Rodrigues, 2023. "Comparing the Simple to Complex Automatic Methods with the Ensemble Approach in Forecasting Electrical Time Series Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(22), pages 1-16, November.
  39. Wellens, Arnoud P. & Udenio, Maxi & Boute, Robert N., 2022. "Transfer learning for hierarchical forecasting: Reducing computational efforts of M5 winning methods," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(4), pages 1482-1491.
  40. Nghia Chu & Binh Dao & Nga Pham & Huy Nguyen & Hien Tran, 2022. "Predicting Mutual Funds' Performance using Deep Learning and Ensemble Techniques," Papers 2209.09649, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2023.
  41. José V. Segura-Heras & José D. Bermúdez & Ana Corberán-Vallet & Enriqueta Vercher, 2022. "Analysis of Weighting Strategies for Improving the Accuracy of Combined Forecasts," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-12, February.
  42. Makridakis, Spyros & Spiliotis, Evangelos & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios, 2020. "The M4 Competition: 100,000 time series and 61 forecasting methods," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 54-74.
  43. Palani, Velmurugan & Vedavalli, S.P. & Veeramani, Vasan Prabhu & Sridharan, S., 2022. "Optimal operation of residential energy Hubs include Hybrid electric vehicle & Heat storage system by considering uncertainties of electricity price and renewable energy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 261(PA).
  44. Evangelos Spiliotis & Spyros Makridakis & Artemios-Anargyros Semenoglou & Vassilios Assimakopoulos, 2022. "Comparison of statistical and machine learning methods for daily SKU demand forecasting," Operational Research, Springer, vol. 22(3), pages 3037-3061, July.
  45. Grzegorz Dudek, 2021. "Short-Term Load Forecasting Using Neural Networks with Pattern Similarity-Based Error Weights," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-18, May.
  46. Tiago E. Pratas & Filipe R. Ramos & Lihki Rubio, 2023. "Forecasting bitcoin volatility: exploring the potential of deep learning," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 13(2), pages 285-305, June.
  47. Januschowski, Tim & Wang, Yuyang & Torkkola, Kari & Erkkilä, Timo & Hasson, Hilaf & Gasthaus, Jan, 2022. "Forecasting with trees," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(4), pages 1473-1481.
  48. Alfonso Angel Medina-Santana & Leopoldo Eduardo Cárdenas-Barrón, 2022. "Optimal Design of Hybrid Renewable Energy Systems Considering Weather Forecasting Using Recurrent Neural Networks," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(23), pages 1-28, November.
  49. Spyros Makridakis & Chris Fry & Fotios Petropoulos & Evangelos Spiliotis, 2022. "The Future of Forecasting Competitions: Design Attributes and Principles," INFORMS Joural on Data Science, INFORMS, vol. 1(1), pages 96-113, April.
  50. Ankitha Nandipura Prasanna & Priscila Grecov & Angela Dieyu Weng & Christoph Bergmeir, 2022. "Causal Effect Estimation with Global Probabilistic Forecasting: A Case Study of the Impact of Covid-19 Lockdowns on Energy Demand," Papers 2209.08885, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2022.
  51. Hector F. Calvo-Pardo & Tullio Mancini & Jose Olmo, 2020. "Neural Network Models for Empirical Finance," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-22, October.
  52. Jennifer L. Castle & Jurgen A. Doornik & David F. Hendry, 2021. "Forecasting Principles from Experience with Forecasting Competitions," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 3(1), pages 1-28, February.
  53. Diunugala, Hemantha Premakumara & Mombeuil, Claudel, 2020. "Modeling and predicting foreign tourist arrivals to Sri Lanka: A comparison of three different methods," MPRA Paper 103779, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  54. Makridakis, Spyros & Spiliotis, Evangelos & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios, 2022. "M5 accuracy competition: Results, findings, and conclusions," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(4), pages 1346-1364.
  55. Paweł Pełka, 2023. "Analysis and Forecasting of Monthly Electricity Demand Time Series Using Pattern-Based Statistical Methods," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(2), pages 1-22, January.
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