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Testing for Multiple Bubbles: Limit Theory of Real Time Detectors

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  1. Kaizoji, Taisei & Leiss, Matthias & Saichev, Alexander & Sornette, Didier, 2015. "Super-exponential endogenous bubbles in an equilibrium model of fundamentalist and chartist traders," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 289-310.
  2. Leiss, Matthias & Nax, Heinrich H. & Sornette, Didier, 2015. "Super-exponential growth expectations and the global financial crisis," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 1-13.
  3. Yang, Bingduo & Long, Wei & Yang, Zihui, 2022. "Testing predictability of stock returns under possible bubbles," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 246-260.
  4. Basse, Tobias & Desmyter, Steven & Saft, Danilo & Wegener, Christoph, 2023. "Leading indicators for the US housing market: New empirical evidence and thoughts about implications for risk managers and ESG investors," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
  5. Nguyen, Quynh Nhu & Waters, George A., 2022. "Detecting periodically collapsing bubbles in the S&P 500," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 83-91.
  6. Jalan, Akanksha & Matkovskyy, Roman & Potì, Valerio, 2022. "Shall the winning last? A study of recent bubbles and persistence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
  7. Shuping Shi & Arafat Rahman & Ben Zhe Wang, 2020. "Australian Housing Market Booms: Fundamentals or Speculation?☆," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 96(315), pages 381-401, December.
  8. Vicente Esteve & María A. Prats, 2021. "Financial bubbles and sustainability of public debt: The case of Spain," Working Papers 2111, Department of Applied Economics II, Universidad de Valencia.
  9. Alola, Andrew Adewale, 2022. "The nexus of renewable energy equity and agricultural commodities in the United States: Evidence of regime-switching and price bubbles," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PD).
  10. Esteve, Vicente & Prats, María A., 2023. "External sustainability in Spanish economy: bubbles and crises, 1970–2020," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 114887, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  11. Wang, Xichen & Yan, Ji (Karena) & Yan, Cheng & Gozgor, Giray, 2021. "Emerging stock market exuberance and international short-term flows," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
  12. Asif, Raheel & Frömmel, Michael & Mende, Alexander, 2022. "The crisis alpha of managed futures: Myth or reality?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
  13. Kris Brabanter & Farzad Sabzikar, 2021. "Asymptotic theory for regression models with fractional local to unity root errors," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 84(7), pages 997-1024, October.
  14. Yubo Tao & Jun Yu, 2020. "Model Selection for Explosive Models," Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honor of Cheng Hsiao, volume 41, pages 73-103, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
  15. Robert A. Jarrow & Simon S. Kwok, 2021. "Inferring financial bubbles from option data," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(7), pages 1013-1046, November.
  16. Chen, Weijia & Huang, Shupei & An, Haizhong, 2023. "Revealing dynamic intrinsic temporal and spatial scale characteristics of oil price volatility in bubble and non-bubble periods," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).
  17. Madaleno, Mara & Dogan, Eyup & Taskin, Dilvin, 2022. "A step forward on sustainability: The nexus of environmental responsibility, green technology, clean energy and green finance," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
  18. Janusz Sobieraj & Dominik Metelski, 2021. "Testing Housing Markets for Episodes of Exuberance: Evidence from Different Polish Cities," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-29, September.
  19. Vicente Esteve & María A. Prats, 2021. "Testing for rational bubbles in Australian housing market from a long-term perspective," Working Papers 2113, Department of Applied Economics II, Universidad de Valencia.
  20. Nora CHIRIȚĂ & Camelia DELCEA & Ionuț NICA & Simona-Liliana CRĂCIUNESCU (PARAMON) & Ștefan-Andrei IONESCU, 2023. "Financial contagion and identifying speculative frenzies: Unraveling price bubbles in cryptocurrency markets," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(3(636), A), pages 21-40, Autumn.
  21. Wang, Xichen & Liu, Qingya, 2023. "Can the global financial cycle explain the episodes of exuberance in international housing markets?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
  22. Fan Fang & Carmine Ventre & Michail Basios & Leslie Kanthan & David Martinez-Rego & Fan Wu & Lingbo Li, 2022. "Cryptocurrency trading: a comprehensive survey," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-59, December.
  23. Wan, Junmin & Qiu, Qiqi, 2023. "Industrial investments and housing prices in China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 832-852.
  24. Zhang, Xiaoming & Wei, Chunyan & Lee, Chien-Chiang & Tian, Yiming, 2023. "Systemic risk of Chinese financial institutions and asset price bubbles," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
  25. Gharib, Cheima & Mefteh-Wali, Salma & Serret, Vanessa & Ben Jabeur, Sami, 2021. "Impact of COVID-19 pandemic on crude oil prices: Evidence from Econophysics approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
  26. Bogdan, Dima & Ştefana Maria, Dima & Roxana, Ioan, 2022. "A Value-at-Risk forecastability indicator in the framework of a Generalized Autoregressive Score with “Asymmetric Laplace Distribution”," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
  27. Hicham Ayad & Ousama Ben-Salha & Miloud Ouafi, 2023. "Do oil prices predict the exchange rate in Algeria? Time, frequency, and time‐varying Granger causality analysis," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(5), pages 3545-3566, October.
  28. Eiji Kurozumi, 2021. "Asymptotic Behavior of Delay Times of Bubble Monitoring Tests," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(3), pages 314-337, May.
  29. Wei, Yigang & Li, Yan & Wang, Zhicheng, 2022. "Multiple price bubbles in global major emission trading schemes: Evidence from European Union, New Zealand, South Korea and China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
  30. Skrobotov Anton, 2023. "Testing for explosive bubbles: a review," Dependence Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 11(1), pages 1-26, January.
  31. Yiu Lim Lui & Weilin Xiao & Jun Yu, 2021. "Mildly Explosive Autoregression with Anti‐persistent Errors," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 83(2), pages 518-539, April.
  32. Festus Victor Bekun & Abdulkareem Alhassan & Ilhan Ozturk & Obadiah Jonathan Gimba, 2022. "Explosivity and Time-Varying Granger Causality: Evidence from the Bubble Contagion Effect of COVID-19-Induced Uncertainty on Manufacturing Job Postings in the United States," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(24), pages 1-17, December.
  33. Ren, Xiaohang & Li, Jingyao & He, Feng & Lucey, Brian, 2023. "Impact of climate policy uncertainty on traditional energy and green markets: Evidence from time-varying granger tests," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
  34. Ayben Koy, 2022. "Regime Switching Mechanism during Energy Futures Price Bubbles," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(1), pages 373-382.
  35. Alexander Guzmán & Christian Pinto-Gutiérrez & María-Andrea Trujillo, 2021. "Trading Cryptocurrencies as a Pandemic Pastime: COVID-19 Lockdowns and Bitcoin Volume," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(15), pages 1-15, July.
  36. Yu, Lu & Li, Yanglin, 2023. "Testing factor models when asset bubbles occur: A time-varying perspective," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
  37. Wang, Lu & Ruan, Hang & Hong, Yanran & Luo, Keyu, 2023. "Detecting the hidden asymmetric relationship between crude oil and the US dollar: A novel neural Granger causality method," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
  38. Vicente Esteve & María A. Prats, 2022. "Can a country borrow forever? The unsustainable trajectory of international debt: the case of Spain," Working Papers 2202, Department of Applied Economics II, Universidad de Valencia.
  39. Esteve, Vicente & Prats, María A., 2023. "Testing explosive bubbles with time-varying volatility: the case of Spanish public debt," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 116980, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  40. Etienne, Xiaoli L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Garcia, Philip, 2014. "Bubbles in food commodity markets: Four decades of evidence," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 129-155.
  41. Emilio Congregado & Carmen Díaz-Roldán & Vicente Esteve, 2023. "Deficit sustainability and fiscal theory of price level: the case of Italy, 1861–2020," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 50(3), pages 755-782, August.
  42. Andras Fulop & Jun Yu, 2017. "Bayesian Analysis of Bubbles in Asset Prices," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 5(4), pages 1-23, October.
  43. Xunfa Lu & Zhitao Ye & Kin Keung Lai & Hairong Cui & Xiao Lin, 2022. "Time-Varying Causalities in Prices and Volatilities between the Cross-Listed Stocks in Chinese Mainland and Hong Kong Stock Markets," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-19, February.
  44. Wang, Shaoping & Feng, Hao & Gao, Da, 2023. "Testing for short explosive bubbles: A case of Brent oil futures price," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
  45. Wang, Wen-Kai & Lin, Che-Chun & Tsai, I-Chun, 2022. "Long- and short-term price behaviors in presale housing markets in Taiwan," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 350-364.
  46. Hong, Yanran & Wang, Lu & Ye, Xiaoqing & Zhang, Yaojie, 2022. "Dynamic asymmetric impact of equity market uncertainty on energy markets: A time-varying causality analysis," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 196(C), pages 535-546.
  47. Esteve Vicente & Prats Maria A., 2021. "Structural Breaks and Explosive Behavior in the Long-Run: The Case of Australian Real House Prices, 1870–2020," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 15(1), pages 72-84, January.
  48. Gomis-Porqueras, Pedro & Shi, Shuping & Tan, David, 2022. "Gold as a financial instrument," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
  49. El Montasser, Ghassen & Malek Belhoula, Mohamed & Charfeddine, Lanouar, 2023. "Co-explosivity versus leading effects: Evidence from crude oil and agricultural commodities," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
  50. Mahadeo, Scott M.R. & Heinlein, Reinhold & Legrenzi, Gabriella D., 2022. "Contagion testing in frontier markets under alternative stressful S&P 500 market scenarios," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
  51. Vicente Esteve & María A. Prats, 2022. "Testing explosive bubbles with time-varying volatility: The case of the Spanish public debt, 1850?2021," Working Papers 2205, Department of Applied Economics II, Universidad de Valencia.
  52. Aktham Maghyereh & Hussein Abdoh, 2022. "Bubble contagion effect between the main precious metals," Studies in Economics and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 40(1), pages 43-63, March.
  53. Ozkan Haykir & Ibrahim Yagli, 2022. "Speculative bubbles and herding in cryptocurrencies," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-33, December.
  54. Bellón, Carlos & Figuerola-Ferretti, Isabel, 2022. "Bubbles in Ethereum," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
  55. Yang, Hui & Ferrer, Román, 2023. "Explosive behavior in the Chinese stock market: A sectoral analysis," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
  56. Esteve, Vicente & Prats, María A., 2023. "Testing explosive bubbles with time-varying volatility: The case of Spanish public debt," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
  57. Eiji Kurozumi & Anton Skrobotov, 2023. "Improving the accuracy of bubble date estimators under time-varying volatility," Papers 2306.02977, arXiv.org.
  58. Adam Hayes, 2018. "Bitcoin price and its marginal cost of production: support for a fundamental value," Papers 1805.07610, arXiv.org.
  59. Leone, Vitor & de Medeiros, Otavio Ribeiro, 2015. "Signalling the Dotcom bubble: A multiple changes in persistence approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 77-86.
  60. Hurn, Stan & Shi, Shuping & Wang, Ben, 2022. "Housing networks and driving forces," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
  61. Li, Yi & Zhang, Wei & Urquhart, Andrew & Wang, Pengfei, 2022. "The role of media coverage in the bubble formation: Evidence from the Bitcoin market," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
  62. Fromentin, Vincent, 2022. "Time-varying causality between stock prices and macroeconomic fundamentals: Connection or disconnection?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
  63. Maghyereh, Aktham & Abdoh, Hussein & Awartani, Basel, 2022. "Have returns and volatilities for financial assets responded to implied volatility during the COVID-19 pandemic?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
  64. Funke, Michael & Tsang, Andrew & Zhu, Linxu, 2018. "Not all cities are alike: House price heterogeneity and the design of macro-prudential policies in China," BOFIT Discussion Papers 18/2018, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
  65. Metawa, Noura & Dogan, Eyup & Taskin, Dilvin, 2022. "Analyzing the nexus of green economy, clean and financial technology," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 385-396.
  66. Sidi Mohammed Chekouri & Abderrahim Chibi & Mohamed Benbouziane, 2024. "Public debt dynamics and fiscal sustainability in selected North African countries: new evidence from recurrent explosive behavior tests and quantile unit root analysis," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 1-27, April.
  67. Eiji Kurozumi & Anton Skrobotov, 2021. "On the asymptotic behavior of bubble date estimators," Papers 2110.04500, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2022.
  68. Cai, Zongwu & Chen, Haiqiang & Liao, Xiaosai, 2023. "A new robust inference for predictive quantile regression," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 234(1), pages 227-250.
  69. Congregado, Emilio & Esteve, Vicente, 2022. "Cointegration with structural changes and classical model of inflation in Spain, 1830–1998," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 376-388.
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