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Optimal Monetary Policy Rules in A Simple Stochastic Macro Model: China's Evidence

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Author Info
Shengzu Wang (McGill University)
Shen Guo (Concordia University)

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Abstract

In this paper we apply a simple macro model to explore and evaluate certain optimal monetary policy rules for China's economy. To be more consistent with the central bank (the People's Bank of China)'s behaviour, we use money supply as a monetary policy instrument rather than the commonly used interest rate. Policy rules are optimal in terms of minimizing the predetermined loss functions, and the parameters of these rules are determined by stochastic simulation. Different forms of policy rule and loss function are considered, especially for exchange rate volatility and money supply volatility. The optimality of monetary policy rules is evaluated by comparing the shifts of policy frontiers.

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File URL: http://129.3.20.41/eps/mac/papers/0510/0510009.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by EconWPA in its series Macroeconomics with number 0510009.

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Length: 26 pages
Date of creation: 08 Oct 2005
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Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpma:0510009

Note: Type of Document - pdf; pages: 26
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Web page: http://129.3.20.41

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Related research
Keywords: Monetary Policy Rule; Loss Function; Stochastic Simulation; Policy Frontier; China;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods
E47 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Forecasting and Simulation
E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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  1. Mccallum, Bennet T., 1988. "Robustness properties of a rule for monetary policy," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 173-203, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. McCallum, Bennett T., 1999. "Issues in the design of monetary policy rules," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & M. Woodford (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 23, pages 1483-1530 Elsevier. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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