Monetary Policy Effect on the Business Cycle Fluctuations: Output vs. Index Measures of the Cycle
AbstractThe paper analyzes two questions: (i) the effect of a monetary policy shock on the business cycle and (ii) the extent to which a shift in a monetary policy affects the dynamics of business cycle. Unlike previous literature, to answer these questions, we measure cycle movements by calculating an index from a number of aggregate macroeconomic series via a dynamic factor model. We find that monetary policy shocks have a small but significant impact on persistent and transitory parts of the cycle. A systematic shift of monetary policy has a modest effect.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by EconWPA in its series Macroeconomics with number 0409015.
Length: 45 pages
Date of creation: 18 Sep 2004
Date of revision: 20 Sep 2004
Note: Type of Document - pdf; pages: 45
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monetary policy; business cycle; dynamic factor model; index of coincident economic indicators.;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
- E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
- C43 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Index Numbers and Aggregation
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2004-09-30 (All new papers)
- NEP-MAC-2004-09-30 (Macroeconomics)
- NEP-MON-2004-09-30 (Monetary Economics)
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