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The impact of interest-rate subsidies on long-term household debt: Evidence from a large program

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  • Nuno C. Martins
  • Ernesto Villanueva

Abstract

The responsiveness of long-term household debt to the interest rate is a crucial parameter for assessing the effectiveness of public policies aimed at promoting specific types of saving. This paper estimates the effect of a reform of Credito Bonificado, a large program in Portugal that subsidized mortgage interest rates, on long-term household debt. The reform established a ceiling in the price of the house that could be financed through the program, and provides plausibly exogenous variation in incentives. Using a unique dataset of matched household survey data and administrative records of debt, we document a large decrease in the probability of signing a new loan after the removal of the subsidy.

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  • Nuno C. Martins & Ernesto Villanueva, 2003. "The impact of interest-rate subsidies on long-term household debt: Evidence from a large program," Economics Working Papers 713, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
    • Handle: RePEc:upf:upfgen:713
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    Cited by:

    1. Nuno Martins & Ernesto Villanueva, 2006. "Does limited access to mortgage debt explain why young adults live with their parents?," Working Papers 0628, Banco de España.
    2. Herrala, Risto & Kauko, Karlo, 2007. "Household loan loss risk in Finland: estimations and simulations with micro data," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 5/2007, Bank of Finland.
    3. Meng, Xianming & Hoang, Nam T. & Siriwardana, Mahinda, 2013. "The determinants of Australian household debt: A macro level study," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 80-90.
    4. repec:zbw:bofrdp:2007_005 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Fellner, Zita & Marosi, Anna & Szabó, Beáta, 2021. "A babaváró kölcsön hitelpiaci és reálgazdasági hatásai [The effects of pre-natal baby-support loans on the credit market and the real economy]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(2), pages 150-177.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Consumer borrowing; subsidies; quasi-natural experiment;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D91 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making
    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • H20 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - General

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