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The Survival of the Welfare State

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Author Info
John Hassler
José V. Rodríguez Mora ()
Kjetil Storesletten
Fabrizio Zilibotti

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Abstract

This paper provides an analytical characterization of Markov perfect equilibria in a politico-economic model with repeated voting, where agents vote over distortionary income redistribution. The key feature of the theory is that the future constituency of redistributive policies depends positively on the current level of redistribution, since this affects both private investments and the future distribution of voters. Agents vote rationally and fullly anticipate the effects of their political choice on both private incentives and future voting outcomes. The model features multiple equilibria. In "pro-welfare" equilibria, both welfare state policies and their effects on distribution persist forever. In "anti-welfare equilibria", even a majority of beneficiaries of redistributive policies vote strategically so as to induce the formation of a future majority that will vote for zero redistribution.

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Paper provided by Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra in its series Economics Working Papers with number 603.

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Date of creation: Dec 2001
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Handle: RePEc:upf:upfgen:603

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Related research
Keywords: repeated voting Markov equilibrium multiple equilibria welfare state redistribution political economy policy persistence wage inequality education

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Models of Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy
H11 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government - - - Structure and Scope of Government
H31 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents - - - Household
P16 - Economic Systems - - Capitalist Systems - - - Political Economy of Capitalism

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