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Local Multipliers and the Informal Sector in Mexico 2000-2010

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  • Isidro Soloaga

    ()
    (Department of Economics, Universidad Iberoamericana, Mexico City. Mexico)

  • Mariana Pereira

Abstract

This paper analyzes local multipliers and the relation between tradable job creation and informality in Mexico. Building upon local multipliers analysis, and taking into consideration agglomeration economies as well as general equilibrium effects, if finds that a new job in the tradable sector traduces into three new jobs in the nontradable sector. Half of these jobs occur in the informal sector, which is not a desirable outcome considering the low tax collection and vulnerability to labor market shocks associated to informality. Considering the skill composition of the tradable sector, individuals with some college or more have a much higher multiplier over nontradable jobs compared to other skill levels. There are asymmetric effects in terms of the multiplier as negative shocks (job losses) have higher effects.

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Paper provided by Universidad Iberoamericana, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 0513.

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Date of creation: 2013
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Handle: RePEc:uic:wpaper:0513

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  1. Glaeser, Edward L., 2008. "Cities, Agglomeration, and Spatial Equilibrium," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199290444, October.
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  9. Sebastian Galiani & Federico Weinschelbaum, 2007. "Modeling Informality Formally: Households and Firms," CEDLAS, Working Papers 0047, CEDLAS, Universidad Nacional de La Plata.
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  12. Fortin, Bernard & Marceau, Nicolas & Savard, Luc, 1997. "Taxation, wage controls and the informal sector," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(2), pages 293-312, November.
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  14. Dan Black & Terra McKinnish & Seth Sanders, 2005. "The Economic Impact Of The Coal Boom And Bust," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 115(503), pages 449-476, 04.
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