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La TVA sociale: bonne ou mauvaise idée?

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  • Fève, Patrick
  • Matheron, Julien
  • Sahuc, Jean-Guillaume

Abstract

L’impact quantitatif et dynamique de la TVA sociale, i.e. une réforme fiscale consistant à substituer de la TVA aux charges patronales, est évaluée à l’aide de deux modèles d’équilibre général dynamique. Le premier est un modèle walrasien sans autres distorsions que des taxes sur les revenus du travail et du capital et sur la consommation. Le second introduit en plus des frictions d’appariement sur le marché du travail. Deux scenarii de mise en oeuvre de la TVA sociale sont envisagés. Dans tous les cas, la réforme fiscale se traduit par un effet de long terme de faible ampleur sur le niveau des variables agrégées et une amélioration modeste du bien–être. Dans le modèle sans frictions, ces gains sont substantiellement réduits lorsque la réforme est pré–annoncée six trimestres avant sa mise en oeuvre effective. L’effet d’une préannonce est moindre dans le modèle avec frictions sur le marché du travail.

Suggested Citation

  • Fève, Patrick & Matheron, Julien & Sahuc, Jean-Guillaume, 2009. "La TVA sociale: bonne ou mauvaise idée?," TSE Working Papers 09-038, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
    • Handle: RePEc:tse:wpaper:22146
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    Cited by:

    1. Nukic, Senada, 2014. "Fiscal Consolidation and Employment Loss," MPRA Paper 60224, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Fanny Henriet, Nicolas Maggiar, and Katheline Schubert, 2014. "A Stylized Applied Energy-Economy Model for France," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 4).
    3. Font, Barbara Castelletti & Clerc, Pierrick & Lemoine, Matthieu, 2018. "Should euro area countries cut taxes on labour or capital in order to boost their growth?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 279-288.
    4. Fève, P. & Matheron, J. & Sahuc,J-G., 2013. "Strict Fiscal Rules and Macroeconomic Stability: The Case of Social VAT," Working papers 439, Banque de France.
    5. Fanny Henriet & Nicolas Maggiar & Katheline Schubert, 2016. "La France peut-elle atteindre l’objectif du Facteur 4 ? Une évaluation à l’aide d’un modèle stylisé énergie-économie," Economie & Prévision, La Documentation Française, vol. 0(1), pages 1-21.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E10 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - General
    • E20 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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