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Exchange Rate Misalignment: A New Test of Long-Run PPP Based on Cross-Country Data

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Author Info
Pan A. Yotopoulos (University of Florence and (emeritus) Stanford University)
Yasuyuki Sawada (Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo)

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Abstract

We formulate and implement a new empirical procedure to examine the validity of PPP in the long-run for 153 countries by using the familiar cross-country data set of Heston, Summers, and Aten (2002). Unlike the existing studies that rely on mean reversion of real exchange rates, we explicitly examine country-specificity in the deviations of the nominal exchange rate from PPP. We find, first, that out of a total of 153 countries, 132 countries have achieved PPP within twenty years, 1980-2000 and 105 countries have attained PPP over ten years, 1990-2000. Second, according to the results, our method can be accepted as a workable shortcut of the direct, fullinformation approach of Yotopoulos (1996) that tests for long-run PPP utilizing micro-ICP data. This becomes an important characteristic of this paper since comprehensive micro-ICP data are no longer easily available. As a by-product, of the empirical validation of our shortcut approach, our empirical results are in favor of the Ricardo-Balassa-Samuelson effect.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo in its series CIRJE F-Series with number CIRJE-F-318.

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Length: 24 pages
Date of creation: Feb 2005
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Handle: RePEc:tky:fseres:2005cf318

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  1. Aliyu, Shehu Usman Rano, 2008. "Exchange Rate Volatility and Export Trade in Nigeria: An Empirical Investigation," MPRA Paper 13490, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 17 Feb 2009. [Downloadable!]
  2. Tausch, Arno, 2007. "Correctly finger-pointing the Lisbon-process-villains," MPRA Paper 1890, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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  3. Shehu Usman Rano, Aliyu, 2007. "Real Exchange Rate Misalignment: An Application of Behavioral Equilibrium Exchange Rate (BEER) to Nigeria," MPRA Paper 10376, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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