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Welfare Analysis with a Proxy Consumption Measure – Evidence from a Repeated Experiment in Indonesia

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  • Menno Pradhan

    (World Bank, Washington, and Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam)

Abstract

This discussion paper resulted in an article in Fiscal Studies (2009). Volume 30, issue 3/4, pages 391-417. Every three years, Indonesia fields simultaneously two nationwide surveys which collect consumption data. Onecollects consumption using 23 questions, the other using 320 questions. Based on a repeated experiment inwhich the two questionnaires were randomly assigned across households, I examine the consequences of using ahigher level of aggregation in questioning. A mapping of distribution functions reveals the combined effect ofsystematic differences in measurement and measurement error. Using a pseudo cross-section approach, Ieliminate the effect of measurement error and find that using a high level of aggregation yields a lowerconsumption measure, and that the fraction of underestimation increases as consumption rises. A one percentincrease in average consumption increases the fraction by which consumption is underestimated by about .4percent point. Next, I examine the consequences of using the short consumption questionnaire in welfareanalysis. Higher relative measurement error in the consumption measure derived from the short questionnaireresults in higher poverty estimates even if the poverty line is adjusted to take account of the systematicunderestimation. Small differences are found for analysis that is based on the rank the individual holds in theconsumption distribution. In gradient analysis, it seems impossible to devise a simple correction factor for thehigher consumption elasticities that follow when the short questionnaire is used.

Suggested Citation

  • Menno Pradhan, 2001. "Welfare Analysis with a Proxy Consumption Measure – Evidence from a Repeated Experiment in Indonesia," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 01-092/2, Tinbergen Institute.
  • Handle: RePEc:tin:wpaper:20010092
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Martin Browning & Thomas F. Crossley & Guglielmo Weber, 2003. "Asking consumption questions in general purpose surveys," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 113(491), pages 540-567, November.
    2. Pritchett, Lant & Sumarto, Sudarno & Suryahadi, Asep, 2001. "Targeted Programs in an Economic Crisis: Empirical Findings from Indonesia’s Experience," MPRA Paper 58727, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Joachim Winter, 2004. "Response bias in survey-based measures of household consumption," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 3(9), pages 1-12.
    4. Martin Browning & Thomas Crossley, 2009. "Are Two Cheap, Noisy Measures Better Than One Expensive, Accurate One?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 99(2), pages 99-103, May.
    5. David Stifel & Luc Christiaensen, 2007. "Tracking Poverty Over Time in the Absence of Comparable Consumption Data," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 21(2), pages 317-341, June.
    6. David Sahn, 2012. "Health Inequality across Populations of Individuals," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 24(4), pages 316-326.
    7. John Gibson & Kathleen Beegle & Joachim De Weerdt & Jed Friedman, 2015. "What does Variation in Survey Design Reveal about the Nature of Measurement Errors in Household Consumption?," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 77(3), pages 466-474, June.
    8. Robert Cull & Kinnon Scott, 2010. "Measuring Household Usage of Financial Services: Does it Matter How or Whom You Ask?," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 24(2), pages 199-233, April.
    9. Beegle, Kathleen & De Weerdt, Joachim & Friedman, Jed & Gibson, John, 2012. "Methods of household consumption measurement through surveys: Experimental results from Tanzania," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(1), pages 3-18.
    10. Winter, Joachim, 0000. "Design effects in survey-based measures of household consumption," Sonderforschungsbereich 504 Publications 02-34, Sonderforschungsbereich 504, Universität Mannheim;Sonderforschungsbereich 504, University of Mannheim.
    11. David E. Sahn & Stephen D. Younger, 2009. "Measuring intra‐household health inequality: explorations using the body mass index," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 18(S1), pages 13-36, April.
    12. Bredl, Sebastian, 2009. "Migration, remittances and educational outcomes: The case of Haiti," Discussion Papers 44, Justus Liebig University Giessen, Center for international Development and Environmental Research (ZEU).
    13. Roopali Goyanka & Charu C. Garg & Sheela Prasad, 2019. "Impoverishment Due to Out-of-pocket Health Expenditures: Measurement and Comparison Across Different Surveys in India," Indian Journal of Human Development, , vol. 13(2), pages 121-134, August.
    14. Luisa Natali & Marta Moratti, 2012. "Measuring Household Welfare: Short versus long consumption modules," Papers inwopa671, Innocenti Working Papers.
    15. Fiedler, John L. & Mwangi, Dena M., 2016. "Improving household consumption and expenditure surveys’ food consumption metrics: Developing a strategic approach to the unfinished agenda:," IFPRI discussion papers 1570, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    16. repec:ebl:ecbull:v:3:y:2004:i:9:p:1-12 is not listed on IDEAS
    17. Paul Glewwe, 2007. "Measurement Error Bias in Estimates of Income and Income Growth among the Poor: Analytical Results and a Correction Formula," Economic Development and Cultural Change, University of Chicago Press, vol. 56(1), pages 163-189, October.
    18. Farfán, Gabriela & Genoni, María Eugenia & Vakis, Renos, 2017. "You are what (and where) you eat: Capturing food away from home in welfare measures," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 146-156.

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