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Effects of a Cash Transfer Program on Origin-Destination Migration Flows

Author

Listed:
  • Gabriel Lyrio de Oliveira
  • André Luis Squarize Chagas

Abstract

In this research we estimate the effects of the management of a cash transfer program, the Bolsa Familia, on migration flows among Brazilian municipalities from 2008 to 2010. We consider the aggregated origin-destination flows coming from a Spatial Dependent Discrete Choice Model, and focus on the interest variables of release of resources and surveillance of the Program. Then, we discuss the possible lying mechanisms relating the interest variables and individual migration decisions. Each mechanism differs according to the individual status, beneficiary of the program or not, income profile, specific characteristics of its home municipality and of potential destinations. Among our results, the control variables appear in agreement with the main findings of migration literature, and the management of the program was revealed relevant to the beneficiary and potential beneficiary locational choices, specially the release of resources.

Suggested Citation

  • Gabriel Lyrio de Oliveira & André Luis Squarize Chagas, 2017. "Effects of a Cash Transfer Program on Origin-Destination Migration Flows," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2017_28, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).
    • Handle: RePEc:spa:wpaper:2017wpecon28
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Migration; Origin-Destination Flow; Discrete Choice; Spatial Dependence; Bolsa Fam�lia.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O15 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration
    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population

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