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Un modelo RSDAIDS para las importaciones de madera de Estados Unidos y sus implicaciones para Colombia

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  • Alviar Ramírez, Mauricio
  • Restrepo Patiño, Medardo
  • Gallón Gómez, Santiago

Abstract

This paper presents the main results of a model of import demand of wood products in the U.S. and its implications for Colombia. The time length considered here was 1980-1999. The theoretical model used was developed by Deaton and Muellbauer in 1980 and it is called: An Almost Ideal Demand System. This model allows the estimation of price and income elasticities for different types of wood products. The methodology used consists of the Seemingly Unrelated Regression model (SUR), popular in the econometrics literature. This paper shows, on one hand, that despite of the tremendous forest potential that Colombia has, its participation in international markets is negligible. On the other hand, if Colombia decided to develop the forest sector, it would have to face some strong competitors such as Canada and some Asian countries. The cross-price elasticities show that in the case of round wood the majority of countries behaves like complementary goods. The sign of the elasticities are the expected which allows to conclude that the model well fits the data

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 859.

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Date of creation: Nov 2002
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:859

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Keywords: demanda de importaciones; productos maderables; coníferas; modelo RSAIDS; modelo SUR; elasticidades; import demand; wood products; coniferous; RSAIDS model ; SUR model; elasticities;

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  1. Henneberry, Shida Rastegari & Piewthongngam, Kullapapruk & Qiang, Han, 1999. "Consumer Food Safety Concerns And Fresh Produce Consumption," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 24(01), July.
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Cited by:
  1. Garcia Callejas, Danny, 2010. "Corruption, Economic Freedom and Political Freedom in South America: In Pursuit of the missing Link," BORRADORES DEPARTAMENTO DE ECONOMÍA 007336, UNIVERSIDAD DE ANTIOQUIA - CIE.
  2. M.Rojas, Angela, 2011. "Political Competition in Dual Economies: Clientelism in Latin America," BORRADORES DEPARTAMENTO DE ECONOMÍA 008103, UNIVERSIDAD DE ANTIOQUIA - CIE.
  3. Juan Esteban Carranza & Alejandra González & Natalia Serna, 2014. "La relación entre la producción y el comercio exterior de la industria manufacturera colombiana (2000-2010)," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 011129, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
  4. García Callejas, Danny, 2011. "Per Capita GDP Convergence in South America, 1960-2007," BORRADORES DEPARTAMENTO DE ECONOMÍA 008983, UNIVERSIDAD DE ANTIOQUIA - CIE.
  5. Juan Esteban Carranza & Alejandra González & Natalia Serna, 2014. "La relación entre la producción y el comercio exterior de la industria manufacturera colombiana (2000-2010)," Borradores de Economia 806, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.

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