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A geometrical approach to structural change modeling

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  • Stijepic, Denis

Abstract

We propose a model for studying the dynamics of economic structures. The model is based on qualitative information regarding structural dynamics, in particular, (a) the information on the geometrical properties of trajectories (and their domains) which are studied in structural change theory and (b) the empirical information from stylized facts of structural change. We show that structural change is path-dependent in this model and use this fact to restrict the number of future structural change scenarios significantly. We focus on labour-allocation-dynamics in a tree-sector-economy. However, our approach can be applied to other types of structural change (e.g. income-distribution-dynamics).

Suggested Citation

  • Stijepic, Denis, 2013. "A geometrical approach to structural change modeling," MPRA Paper 55010, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 02 Apr 2014.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:55010
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Stijepic, Denis, 2014. "A Theorem on the Limit-Properties of Structural Change and some Implications," MPRA Paper 57580, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Piyabha Kongsamut & Sergio Rebelo & Danyang Xie, 2001. "Beyond Balanced Growth," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 68(4), pages 869-882.
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    10. Foellmi, Reto & Zweimüller, Josef, 2008. "Structural change, Engel's consumption cycles and Kaldor's facts of economic growth," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(7), pages 1317-1328, October.
    11. Mr. Sergio Rebelo & Ms. Piyabha Kongsamut & Danyang Xie, 2001. "Beyond Balanced Growth," IMF Working Papers 2001/085, International Monetary Fund.
    12. Maddison, Angus, 2007. "Contours of the World Economy 1-2030 AD: Essays in Macro-Economic History," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199227204.
    13. Jens J. Krüger, 2008. "Productivity And Structural Change: A Review Of The Literature," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 22(2), pages 330-363, April.
    14. Leamer, Edward E, 1987. "Paths of Development in the Three-Factor, n-Good General Equilibrium Model," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 95(5), pages 961-999, October.
    15. Angus Maddison, 1995. "Explaining The Economic Performance Of Nations," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 294.
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    Cited by:

    1. Stijepic, Denis, 2019. "On development paths minimizing the aggregate labor-reallocation costs in the three-sector framework and an application to structural policy," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203519, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    2. Denis Stijepic, 2017. "An argument against Cobb-Douglas production functions (in multi-sector growth modeling)," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 37(2), pages 1143-1150.
    3. Stijepic, Denis, 2019. "A topological approach to structural change analysis and an application to long-run labor allocation dynamics," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 453-462.
    4. Stijepic, Denis, 2018. "A contribution to the qualitative, interdisciplinary modeling of environmental development," MPRA Paper 88953, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 12 Sep 2018.
    5. Stijepic, Denis, 2017. "Empirical evidence on the geometrical properties of structural change trajectories," MPRA Paper 80854, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 17 Aug 2017.
    6. Stijepic, Denis, 2017. "On the predictability of economic structural change by the Poincaré-Bendixson theory," MPRA Paper 80849, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 17 Aug 2017.
    7. Irina Zabelina & Ekaterina Klevakina, 2016. "Structural Changes in the Economy of Cross-Border Regions of Russia and China," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 6(4), pages 1460-1467.
    8. Stijepic, Denis, 2014. "A Theorem on the Limit-Properties of Structural Change and some Implications," MPRA Paper 57580, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Damir Stijepic, 2019. "The impact of the productivity dispersion across employers on the labor's income share," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 39(1), pages 73-83.
    10. Stijepic, Denis, 2018. "Models of Continuous Dynamics on the 2-Simplex and Applications in Economics," MPRA Paper 86341, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Denis Stijepic, 2017. "Positivistic models of long-run labor allocation dynamics," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 6(1), pages 1-30, December.
    12. Stijepic, Denis, 2017. "On development paths minimizing the structural change costs in the three-sector framework and an application to structural policy," MPRA Paper 77023, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 22 Feb 2017.
    13. Kurose, Kazuhiro, 2021. "Models of structural change and Kaldor’s facts: Critical survey from the Cambridge Keynesian perspective," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 267-277.
    14. Stijepic, Denis, 2016. "Empirical evidence on the topological properties of structural paths and some notes on its theoretical explanation," MPRA Paper 82473, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 26 Oct 2017.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    structure; dynamics; qualitative; geometrical; simplex; path-dependency;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • D3 - Microeconomics - - Distribution
    • O41 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models

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