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Empirical evidence on the geometrical properties of structural change trajectories

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  • Stijepic, Denis

Abstract

We study the long-run labor reallocation dynamics in the three-sector framework relating to agriculture, manufacturing, and services. In particular, we depict the labor reallocation data provided by Maddison (1995) and WorldBank on standard simplexes, study the geometrical properties of the implied vector field, and derive the geometrical properties of stylized labor reallocation trajectories. Moreover, we discuss how these properties can be explained by the standard structural change literature and used for structural change analysis and prediction.

Suggested Citation

  • Stijepic, Denis, 2017. "Empirical evidence on the geometrical properties of structural change trajectories," MPRA Paper 80854, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 17 Aug 2017.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:80854
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Silva, Ester G. & Teixeira, Aurora A.C., 2008. "Surveying structural change: Seminal contributions and a bibliometric account," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 273-300, December.
    2. Foellmi, Reto & Zweimüller, Josef, 2008. "Structural change, Engel's consumption cycles and Kaldor's facts of economic growth," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(7), pages 1317-1328, October.
    3. Piyabha Kongsamut & Sergio Rebelo & Danyang Xie, 2001. "Beyond Balanced Growth," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 68(4), pages 869-882.
    4. Mr. Sergio Rebelo & Ms. Piyabha Kongsamut & Danyang Xie, 2001. "Beyond Balanced Growth," IMF Working Papers 2001/085, International Monetary Fund.
    5. L. Rachel Ngai & Christopher A. Pissarides, 2007. "Structural Change in a Multisector Model of Growth," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 97(1), pages 429-443, March.
    6. Uy, Timothy & Yi, Kei-Mu & Zhang, Jing, 2013. "Structural change in an open economy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(6), pages 667-682.
    7. Denis Stijepic, 2017. "An argument against Cobb-Douglas production functions (in multi-sector growth modeling)," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 37(2), pages 1143-1150.
    8. Herrendorf, Berthold & Rogerson, Richard & Valentinyi, Ákos, 2014. "Growth and Structural Transformation," Handbook of Economic Growth, in: Philippe Aghion & Steven Durlauf (ed.), Handbook of Economic Growth, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 6, pages 855-941, Elsevier.
    9. Stijepic, Denis, 2017. "On development paths minimizing the structural change costs in the three-sector framework and an application to structural policy," MPRA Paper 77023, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 22 Feb 2017.
    10. Stijepic, Denis, 2015. "A geometrical approach to structural change modelling," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 71-85.
    11. Stijepic, Denis, 2019. "A topological approach to structural change analysis and an application to long-run labor allocation dynamics," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 453-462.
    12. Schettkat, Ronald & Yocarini, Lara, 2006. "The shift to services employment: A review of the literature," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 127-147, June.
    13. Stijepic, Denis, 2017. "On the predictability of economic structural change by the Poincaré-Bendixson theory," MPRA Paper 80849, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 17 Aug 2017.
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    Cited by:

    1. Stijepic, Denis, 2019. "On development paths minimizing the aggregate labor-reallocation costs in the three-sector framework and an application to structural policy," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203519, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    2. Stijepic, Denis, 2019. "A topological approach to structural change analysis and an application to long-run labor allocation dynamics," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 453-462.
    3. Stijepic, Denis, 2018. "Models of Continuous Dynamics on the 2-Simplex and Applications in Economics," MPRA Paper 86341, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Stijepic, Denis, 2016. "Empirical evidence on the topological properties of structural paths and some notes on its theoretical explanation," MPRA Paper 82473, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 26 Oct 2017.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    structural change; sectors; labor; reallocation; long run; dynamics; trajectory; simplex; geometry; vector;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O41 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models

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