The objective of the paper is to examine the causal relationship between money supply and stock prices in Pakistan. Two measures of money stocks (M1 and M2) and six stock price indices (general and five sectors) were taken for the period June 1991 to June 1999. The co-integration analysis indicates a long run relationship between stock prices and money supply for both M1 and M2. The Error Correction Model, on the other hand, does not endorse the long run relationship between stock prices and M1. Regarding long run relationship between stock prices and M2, the model suggests a unidirectional causality running from M2 to stock prices. The model also shows the evidence of short run effects of M2 on stock prices. The analysis suggests that the stock market is not efficient with respect to money supply.
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number
5020.
Length: Date of creation: 1999 Date of revision: Publication status: Published in The Pakistan Development Review 4.38(1999): pp. 769-776 Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:5020
Find related papers by JEL classification: E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies
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