Road Traffic Accidents in Saudi Arabia: An ADRL Approach and Multivariate Granger Causality
AbstractThe present paper examine the nexus between road traffic accident (RTA) and some relevant variables in Saudi Arabia over the period 1971- 2012, using the autoregressive distributed lag ADRL model (Pesaran and Shin, 1999) for co-integration in Saudi Arabia, with the co-integration test. Results show that the variables are co-integrated in Saudi Arabia, moreover, the overall Granger causality results present that road traffic accidents, population and GDP, road mails, registered vehicles, and the number of driver license are Granger-causes each other in Saudi Arabia. With these findings, we affirm that there is a strong relationship and effect between road traffic accidents and its population, GDP, road mails, registered vehicles, and the number of driver license. The findings suggest that the ECTt-1 coefficients are negative signed and statistically significant in all VECMs, implying that there is bi-directional causality between the variables of interest in the long run.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 47760.
Date of creation: 24 Apr 2013
Date of revision:
Publication status: Published in International Journal of Economics and Finance 7.5(2013): pp. 26`-31
Road Traffic Accident; Granger Causality; (ADRL) Model; Co-integration Test; Saudi Arabia;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- O11 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
- R4 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Transportation Economics
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2013-06-30 (All new papers)
- NEP-ARA-2013-06-30 (MENA - Middle East & North Africa)
- NEP-FDG-2013-06-30 (Financial Development & Growth)
- NEP-TRE-2013-06-30 (Transport Economics)
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