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How Rational are the Expected Inflation Rate in Australia?

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  • Paradiso, Antonio
  • Rao, B. Bhaskara

Abstract

This paper uses the methodology of Pearce (1979) and Bhagestani and Noori (2008) to show that the expected rate of inflation by the market participants in Australia is more rational than the household survey forecasts by the Melbourne Institute.

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File URL: http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/28696/
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 28696.

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Date of creation: 08 Feb 2011
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:28696

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Keywords: ARIMA Forecasts; Expected Inflation Rate; Survey data; Australia.;

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  1. Pearce, Douglas K, 1979. "Comparing Survey and Rational Measures of Expected Inflation: Forecast Performance and Interest Rate Effects," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 11(4), pages 447-56, November.
  2. Baghestani, Hamid & Noori, Esmail, 1988. "On the rationality of the Michigan monthly survey of inflationary expectations," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 27(4), pages 333-335.
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