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Comparing Survey and Rational Measures of Expected Inflation: Forecast Performance and Interest Rate Effects

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Author Info
Pearce, Douglas K

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal Journal of Money, Credit and Banking.

Volume (Year): 11 (1979)
Issue (Month): 4 (November)
Pages: 447-56
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Handle: RePEc:mcb:jmoncb:v:11:y:1979:i:4:p:447-56

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Web page: http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=0022-2879

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  1. Christoph Zenger, 1985. "Zinssätze und Inflation in der Schweiz: Ein alternativer Test des Fisher-Effektes," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 121(IV), pages 353-374, December. [Downloadable!]
  2. Victor Zarnowitz, 1986. "Rational Expectations and Macroeconomic Forecasts," NBER Working Papers 1070, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Victor Zarnowitz, 1982. "Expectations and Forecasts from Business Outlook Surveys," NBER Working Papers 0845, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Frederic S. Mishkin, 1985. "The Real Interest Rate: A Multi-Country Empirical Study," NBER Working Papers 1047, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  5. Michael P. Keane & David E. Runkle, 1989. "Are economic forecasts rational?," Quarterly Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, issue Spr, pages 26-33. [Downloadable!]
  6. Hamid Baghestani, 2005. "On the rationality of professional forecasts of corporate bond yield spreads," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 12(4), pages 213-216, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Kenneth J. McLaughlin, 1999. "Are nominal wage changes skewed away from wage cuts?," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue May, pages 117-132. [Downloadable!]
  8. R. W. Hafer, 1985. "A look at the ASA-NBER inflation forecasts: tests of rationality and formation," Working Papers 1985-003, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. [Downloadable!]
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