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A Long-run Equilibrium Demand Function: Tourism in Mexico

Author

Listed:
  • Brida, Juan Gabriel
  • Risso, Wiston Adriàn
  • Carrera, Edgar J. Sanchez

Abstract

Tourism demand in Mexico is around 80 percent represented by USA visitors. The goal of this paper is to explain the long-term effects of Tourism Demand in Mexico with respect to US visitors. To reach our goal the methodology of this paper follows the Johansen cointegration analysis and using annual time-series data, a single equation is estimated. With the empirical analyze, we study the tourism demand elasticities considering public investment, relative prices of tourist products, and US income per capita. Further analysis shows only one direction of a strongly positive Granger-causality going from number of tourists to the relative prices. We show that US income positively affects the Mexican tourism demand.

Suggested Citation

  • Brida, Juan Gabriel & Risso, Wiston Adriàn & Carrera, Edgar J. Sanchez, 2007. "A Long-run Equilibrium Demand Function: Tourism in Mexico," MPRA Paper 25375, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 25 Jan 2008.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:25375
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Garcia-Ferrer, Antonio & Queralt, Ricardo A., 1997. "A note on forecasting international tourism demand in Spain," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 13(4), pages 539-549, December.
    2. Phillips, P.C.B., 1986. "Understanding spurious regressions in econometrics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 311-340, December.
    3. Engle, Robert & Granger, Clive, 2015. "Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 39(3), pages 106-135.
    4. Johansen, Soren, 1988. "Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 231-254.
    5. Johansen, Soren, 1995. "Likelihood-Based Inference in Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Models," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198774501.
    6. McCallum, Bennett T., 1984. "On low-frequency estimates of long-run relationships in macroeconomics," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 14(1), pages 3-14, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Santiago Grullón, 2013. "Effects of Price and Income on International Travel to the Dominican Republic: Co-integration and Causality Results," Journal of Empirical Economics, Research Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 1(4), pages 107-114.
    2. Galindo, Luis Miguel & Beltrán, Allan & Caballero, Karina, 2018. "Potential consequences of a CO2 aviation tax in Mexico on the demand for tourism," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 90247, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Tourism demand modelling; Public investment on tourism; Economics of Tourism; Johansen Cointegration test;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O1 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development
    • M1 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Business Administration
    • L83 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Sports; Gambling; Restaurants; Recreation; Tourism

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