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Global energy and environmental scenarios: Implications for development policy

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Author Info
Willenbockel, Dirk

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Abstract

As part of a wider review of existing scenario analyses in areas with direct relevance to the future of global development, this paper focuses on two major recent studies: the scenarios contained in the UN Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (MEA) and the scenarios developed by the International Energy Agency (IEA) in support of the G8 Gleneagles plan of action on climate change, clean energy and sustainable development. The paper offers a critical appraisal of these scenarios, examines the drivers of change that are considered to influence future developments, explores the implications of the scenarios for developing countries, and outlines what types of changes in development policy could be appropriate in light of the lessons learned from these scenario exercises.

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File URL: http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/17167/
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 17167.

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Date of creation: Jun 2009
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:17167

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Related research
Keywords: Economic development; Low-carbon growth; Sustainable growth; Millennium development goals;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
Q56 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environment and Development; Environment and Trade; Sustainability; Environmental Accounting
O13 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products
Q57 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Ecological Economics

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-28.


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