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Export and Import Cointegration in Forestry Domain: The Case of Malaysia

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Author Info
F.A., Emmy
A.H., Baharom
Radam, Alias
I., Illisriyani

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Abstract

This study was undertaken to explore the relationship between the export and import in the category of Forestry domain for Malaysia which includes sub domain (1)industrial roundwood; (2)wood pulp; (3)wood fuel; (4) paper and paper board; (5) sawn wood; (6) recovered paper and (7)wood base panel. Johansen (1991) cointegration method was employed and the period of the study covers monthly data from 1961 to 2007. The results clearly show that the export and import of forestry domain is highly cointegrated. Bi-directional granger causality could be detected based on VECM method. Imports seems to positively and significantly affect exports, both in the long run and short run, vice versa.

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Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 16673.

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Date of creation: 04 Aug 2009
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:16673

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Related research
Keywords: Johansen cointegration test; forestry trade; VECM;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Country and Industry Studies of Trade

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Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Hyun-Jae Rhee, 1997. "Are Imports And Exports Of Korea Cointegrated?," International Economic Journal, Korean International Economic Association, vol. 11(1), pages 109-114, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Johansen, Soren, 1991. "Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(6), pages 1551-80, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi & Lau, Evan & Fountas, Stilianos, 2003. "On the sustainability of current account deficits: evidence from four ASEAN countries," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 14(3), pages 465-487, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Stilianos Fountas & Jyh-Lin Wu, 1999. "Are The U.S. Current Account Deficits Really Sustainable?," International Economic Journal, Korean International Economic Association, vol. 13(3), pages 51-58, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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